Henry Cuellar maintains a strong lead in the TX-28 contest due to his long incumbency in the Laredo-centered South Texas district, established crossover appeal among Hispanic voters, and the removal of prior legal issues via presidential pardon. Recent campaign activity centers on competing claims about federal infrastructure funding and local project delivery, with Tijerina criticizing Cuellar’s record while highlighting his own experience as Webb County judge and Trump endorsement. A late-August poll showed Cuellar ahead 45-34 among likely voters. Forecasters rate the seat Lean Democratic following mid-decade redistricting that made the district modestly more Republican-leaning, though Cuellar’s primary performance and historical margins in the area support the current trader consensus favoring the incumbent heading into November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
ヘンリー・クエヤール（民主党）
76%
タノ・ティヘリナ（共和党）
24%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
ヘンリー・クエヤール（民主党）
$3,528 Vol.
76%
タノ・ティヘリナ（共和党）
$4,356 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Henry Cuellar maintains a strong lead in the TX-28 contest due to his long incumbency in the Laredo-centered South Texas district, established crossover appeal among Hispanic voters, and the removal of prior legal issues via presidential pardon. Recent campaign activity centers on competing claims about federal infrastructure funding and local project delivery, with Tijerina criticizing Cuellar’s record while highlighting his own experience as Webb County judge and Trump endorsement. A late-August poll showed Cuellar ahead 45-34 among likely voters. Forecasters rate the seat Lean Democratic following mid-decade redistricting that made the district modestly more Republican-leaning, though Cuellar’s primary performance and historical margins in the area support the current trader consensus favoring the incumbent heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$7,884終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Henry Cuellar maintains a strong lead in the TX-28 contest due to his long incumbency in the Laredo-centered South Texas district, established crossover appeal among Hispanic voters, and the removal of prior legal issues via presidential pardon. Recent campaign activity centers on competing claims about federal infrastructure funding and local project delivery, with Tijerina criticizing Cuellar’s record while highlighting his own experience as Webb County judge and Trump endorsement. A late-August poll showed Cuellar ahead 45-34 among likely voters. Forecasters rate the seat Lean Democratic following mid-decade redistricting that made the district modestly more Republican-leaning, though Cuellar’s primary performance and historical margins in the area support the current trader consensus favoring the incumbent heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,884終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Henry Cuellar maintains a strong lead in the TX-28 contest due to his long incumbency in the Laredo-centered South Texas district, established crossover appeal among Hispanic voters, and the removal of prior legal issues via presidential pardon. Recent campaign activity centers on competing claims about federal infrastructure funding and local project delivery, with Tijerina criticizing Cuellar’s record while highlighting his own experience as Webb County judge and Trump endorsement. A late-August poll showed Cuellar ahead 45-34 among likely voters. Forecasters rate the seat Lean Democratic following mid-decade redistricting that made the district modestly more Republican-leaning, though Cuellar’s primary performance and historical margins in the area support the current trader consensus favoring the incumbent heading into November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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