Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and his established voter base across South Jersey counties. Van Drew, seeking a fifth term after switching parties in 2019, ran unopposed in the June primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $1.9 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Zack Mullock’s roughly $463,000 through mid-2026. Mullock, Cape May mayor, secured his party’s nomination but faces structural challenges in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Limited recent polling and the absence of major campaign shifts since the primaries have reinforced trader expectations of continuity, though turnout patterns and any late-cycle national dynamics could still influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,780 Vol.
$26,780 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェフ・ヴァン・ドリュー（共和党）
84%
ザック・マロック（民主党）
14%
$26,780 Vol.
$26,780 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェフ・ヴァン・ドリュー（共和党）
$13,600 Vol.
84%
ザック・マロック（民主党）
$13,180 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and his established voter base across South Jersey counties. Van Drew, seeking a fifth term after switching parties in 2019, ran unopposed in the June primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $1.9 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Zack Mullock’s roughly $463,000 through mid-2026. Mullock, Cape May mayor, secured his party’s nomination but faces structural challenges in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Limited recent polling and the absence of major campaign shifts since the primaries have reinforced trader expectations of continuity, though turnout patterns and any late-cycle national dynamics could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$26,780終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and his established voter base across South Jersey counties. Van Drew, seeking a fifth term after switching parties in 2019, ran unopposed in the June primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $1.9 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Zack Mullock’s roughly $463,000 through mid-2026. Mullock, Cape May mayor, secured his party’s nomination but faces structural challenges in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Limited recent polling and the absence of major campaign shifts since the primaries have reinforced trader expectations of continuity, though turnout patterns and any late-cycle national dynamics could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,780終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and his established voter base across South Jersey counties. Van Drew, seeking a fifth term after switching parties in 2019, ran unopposed in the June primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $1.9 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Zack Mullock’s roughly $463,000 through mid-2026. Mullock, Cape May mayor, secured his party’s nomination but faces structural challenges in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Limited recent polling and the absence of major campaign shifts since the primaries have reinforced trader expectations of continuity, though turnout patterns and any late-cycle national dynamics could still influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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