Bobby Scott's long tenure as incumbent in Virginia's 3rd Congressional District, combined with its consistent strong Democratic lean reflected in prior election margins and partisan voting indices, underpins trader consensus around his 96.3% implied probability. The seat reverted to a D+18 or greater environment after recent redistricting, and Scott secured 70% in 2024 with minimal primary opposition. Republican nominee Edwin Rivera, an Army veteran, advanced unopposed but trails substantially in fundraising, while independents on the ballot have shown limited visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Scott, or an unprecedented national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$63,419 Vol.
$63,419 Vol.
2026/11/02
ボビー・スコット（民主党）
96%
エドウィン・リベラ（共和党）
4%
$63,419 Vol.
$63,419 Vol.
2026/11/02
ボビー・スコット（民主党）
$21,576 Vol.
96%
エドウィン・リベラ（共和党）
$41,844 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bobby Scott's long tenure as incumbent in Virginia's 3rd Congressional District, combined with its consistent strong Democratic lean reflected in prior election margins and partisan voting indices, underpins trader consensus around his 96.3% implied probability. The seat reverted to a D+18 or greater environment after recent redistricting, and Scott secured 70% in 2024 with minimal primary opposition. Republican nominee Edwin Rivera, an Army veteran, advanced unopposed but trails substantially in fundraising, while independents on the ballot have shown limited visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Scott, or an unprecedented national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$63,419終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bobby Scott's long tenure as incumbent in Virginia's 3rd Congressional District, combined with its consistent strong Democratic lean reflected in prior election margins and partisan voting indices, underpins trader consensus around his 96.3% implied probability. The seat reverted to a D+18 or greater environment after recent redistricting, and Scott secured 70% in 2024 with minimal primary opposition. Republican nominee Edwin Rivera, an Army veteran, advanced unopposed but trails substantially in fundraising, while independents on the ballot have shown limited visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Scott, or an unprecedented national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$63,419終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Bobby Scott's long tenure as incumbent in Virginia's 3rd Congressional District, combined with its consistent strong Democratic lean reflected in prior election margins and partisan voting indices, underpins trader consensus around his 96.3% implied probability. The seat reverted to a D+18 or greater environment after recent redistricting, and Scott secured 70% in 2024 with minimal primary opposition. Republican nominee Edwin Rivera, an Army veteran, advanced unopposed but trails substantially in fundraising, while independents on the ballot have shown limited visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Scott, or an unprecedented national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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