Tom Cole's commanding 94% trader consensus in the Oklahoma 4th district race reflects the district's entrenched Republican tilt, evidenced by its R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. Cole, the longtime incumbent first elected in 2003 and chair of the House Appropriations Committee, secured his party's nomination with 71% in the June 2026 primary. Mitchell Jacob, who won the Democratic primary with 54%, faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation but little competitive pressure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$27,505 Vol.
$27,505 Vol.
2026/11/02
トム・コール（共和党）
94%
ミッチェル・ジェイコブ（民主党）
6%
$27,505 Vol.
$27,505 Vol.
2026/11/02
トム・コール（共和党）
$15,664 Vol.
94%
ミッチェル・ジェイコブ（民主党）
$11,841 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Cole's commanding 94% trader consensus in the Oklahoma 4th district race reflects the district's entrenched Republican tilt, evidenced by its R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. Cole, the longtime incumbent first elected in 2003 and chair of the House Appropriations Committee, secured his party's nomination with 71% in the June 2026 primary. Mitchell Jacob, who won the Democratic primary with 54%, faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation but little competitive pressure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$27,505終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Cole's commanding 94% trader consensus in the Oklahoma 4th district race reflects the district's entrenched Republican tilt, evidenced by its R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. Cole, the longtime incumbent first elected in 2003 and chair of the House Appropriations Committee, secured his party's nomination with 71% in the June 2026 primary. Mitchell Jacob, who won the Democratic primary with 54%, faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation but little competitive pressure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$27,505終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Cole's commanding 94% trader consensus in the Oklahoma 4th district race reflects the district's entrenched Republican tilt, evidenced by its R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. Cole, the longtime incumbent first elected in 2003 and chair of the House Appropriations Committee, secured his party's nomination with 71% in the June 2026 primary. Mitchell Jacob, who won the Democratic primary with 54%, faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation but little competitive pressure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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