Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a strong position in Florida’s 13th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat was redrawn in Florida’s mid-decade redistricting to favor Republicans, shifting the underlying presidential margin to roughly Trump +13. Luna won reelection in 2024 by nearly 10 points and faces no primary opposition, while Democrat Leela Gray, a retired Army brigadier general, secured her party’s nomination in August with 65% of the primary vote. Luna maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from the district’s structural Republican tilt, though Gray has drawn endorsements from Democratic elected officials and veterans groups and has released internal polling showing a narrow lead. Multiple nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing that treats Luna as the clear favorite.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
アナ・ポリナ・ルナ（共和党）
75%
リーラ・グレイ（民主党）
26%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
アナ・ポリナ・ルナ（共和党）
$3,743 Vol.
75%
リーラ・グレイ（民主党）
$5,731 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a strong position in Florida’s 13th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat was redrawn in Florida’s mid-decade redistricting to favor Republicans, shifting the underlying presidential margin to roughly Trump +13. Luna won reelection in 2024 by nearly 10 points and faces no primary opposition, while Democrat Leela Gray, a retired Army brigadier general, secured her party’s nomination in August with 65% of the primary vote. Luna maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from the district’s structural Republican tilt, though Gray has drawn endorsements from Democratic elected officials and veterans groups and has released internal polling showing a narrow lead. Multiple nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing that treats Luna as the clear favorite.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
音量
$9,474終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a strong position in Florida’s 13th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat was redrawn in Florida’s mid-decade redistricting to favor Republicans, shifting the underlying presidential margin to roughly Trump +13. Luna won reelection in 2024 by nearly 10 points and faces no primary opposition, while Democrat Leela Gray, a retired Army brigadier general, secured her party’s nomination in August with 65% of the primary vote. Luna maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from the district’s structural Republican tilt, though Gray has drawn endorsements from Democratic elected officials and veterans groups and has released internal polling showing a narrow lead. Multiple nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing that treats Luna as the clear favorite.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,474終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a strong position in Florida’s 13th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat was redrawn in Florida’s mid-decade redistricting to favor Republicans, shifting the underlying presidential margin to roughly Trump +13. Luna won reelection in 2024 by nearly 10 points and faces no primary opposition, while Democrat Leela Gray, a retired Army brigadier general, secured her party’s nomination in August with 65% of the primary vote. Luna maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from the district’s structural Republican tilt, though Gray has drawn endorsements from Democratic elected officials and veterans groups and has released internal polling showing a narrow lead. Multiple nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing that treats Luna as the clear favorite.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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