Republican incumbent Michael Cloud secured his party's nomination with 73% of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Tanya Lloyd prevailed in her primary with 63%. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball consistently rate the November 3 general election as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's established partisan composition across the Coastal Bend and surrounding counties. This positioning aligns with the incumbent's prior electoral margins and limited Democratic fundraising or organizational activity reported to date. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting Cloud, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban or coastal precincts represent the main variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$37,289 Vol.
$37,289 Vol.
マイケル・クラウド(共和党)
92%
ターニャ・ロイド(民主党)
8%
$37,289 Vol.
$37,289 Vol.
マイケル・クラウド(共和党)
92%
ターニャ・ロイド(民主党)
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Michael Cloud secured his party's nomination with 73% of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Tanya Lloyd prevailed in her primary with 63%. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball consistently rate the November 3 general election as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's established partisan composition across the Coastal Bend and surrounding counties. This positioning aligns with the incumbent's prior electoral margins and limited Democratic fundraising or organizational activity reported to date. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting Cloud, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban or coastal precincts represent the main variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問