Florida's 14th Congressional District underwent voluntary redistricting in 2026 that shifted its lines entirely within Hillsborough County, producing a more Republican-leaning electorate where Donald Trump carried the new map by double digits in 2024. Despite the change, Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor retains strong name recognition after nearly two decades in office and leads in the only public general-election poll released before the August primaries. Mike Beltran secured the Republican nomination with a plurality in a crowded field, drawing national party support as a former state representative focused on budget and immigration issues. Varying race ratings from toss-up to lean Republican reflect the map's impact, yet trader pricing aligns with Castor's structural advantages in fundraising and voter familiarity heading into the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,801 Vol.
$45,801 Vol.
2026/11/02
キャシー・キャスター（民主党）
63%
マイク・ベルトラン（共和党）
34%
$45,801 Vol.
$45,801 Vol.
2026/11/02
キャシー・キャスター（民主党）
$23,520 Vol.
63%
マイク・ベルトラン（共和党）
$22,281 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 14th Congressional District underwent voluntary redistricting in 2026 that shifted its lines entirely within Hillsborough County, producing a more Republican-leaning electorate where Donald Trump carried the new map by double digits in 2024. Despite the change, Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor retains strong name recognition after nearly two decades in office and leads in the only public general-election poll released before the August primaries. Mike Beltran secured the Republican nomination with a plurality in a crowded field, drawing national party support as a former state representative focused on budget and immigration issues. Varying race ratings from toss-up to lean Republican reflect the map's impact, yet trader pricing aligns with Castor's structural advantages in fundraising and voter familiarity heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$45,801終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 14th Congressional District underwent voluntary redistricting in 2026 that shifted its lines entirely within Hillsborough County, producing a more Republican-leaning electorate where Donald Trump carried the new map by double digits in 2024. Despite the change, Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor retains strong name recognition after nearly two decades in office and leads in the only public general-election poll released before the August primaries. Mike Beltran secured the Republican nomination with a plurality in a crowded field, drawing national party support as a former state representative focused on budget and immigration issues. Varying race ratings from toss-up to lean Republican reflect the map's impact, yet trader pricing aligns with Castor's structural advantages in fundraising and voter familiarity heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$45,801終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 14th Congressional District underwent voluntary redistricting in 2026 that shifted its lines entirely within Hillsborough County, producing a more Republican-leaning electorate where Donald Trump carried the new map by double digits in 2024. Despite the change, Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor retains strong name recognition after nearly two decades in office and leads in the only public general-election poll released before the August primaries. Mike Beltran secured the Republican nomination with a plurality in a crowded field, drawing national party support as a former state representative focused on budget and immigration issues. Varying race ratings from toss-up to lean Republican reflect the map's impact, yet trader pricing aligns with Castor's structural advantages in fundraising and voter familiarity heading into the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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