Incumbent Republican Lauren Boebert holds a clear edge in Colorado's 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's strong Republican lean—evident in Donald Trump's double-digit margin there in 2024—and her primary victory. The district's partisan composition and her incumbency advantage underpin trader pricing, even as Democratic challenger Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral and former National Security Council official, has built a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $10 million through June with millions in cash reserves. Laubacher launched her first television ad in early September emphasizing a less partisan approach, but analysts rate the race Solid or Likely Republican. Minor-party and unaffiliated candidates remain on the ballot but show limited impact in forecasts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,449 Vol.
$14,449 Vol.
2026/11/02
ローレン・ボーベルト（共和党）
70%
アイリーン・ラウバッカー（民主党）
29%
$14,449 Vol.
$14,449 Vol.
2026/11/02
ローレン・ボーベルト（共和党）
$10,627 Vol.
70%
アイリーン・ラウバッカー（民主党）
$3,822 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lauren Boebert holds a clear edge in Colorado's 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's strong Republican lean—evident in Donald Trump's double-digit margin there in 2024—and her primary victory. The district's partisan composition and her incumbency advantage underpin trader pricing, even as Democratic challenger Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral and former National Security Council official, has built a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $10 million through June with millions in cash reserves. Laubacher launched her first television ad in early September emphasizing a less partisan approach, but analysts rate the race Solid or Likely Republican. Minor-party and unaffiliated candidates remain on the ballot but show limited impact in forecasts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$14,449終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lauren Boebert holds a clear edge in Colorado's 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's strong Republican lean—evident in Donald Trump's double-digit margin there in 2024—and her primary victory. The district's partisan composition and her incumbency advantage underpin trader pricing, even as Democratic challenger Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral and former National Security Council official, has built a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $10 million through June with millions in cash reserves. Laubacher launched her first television ad in early September emphasizing a less partisan approach, but analysts rate the race Solid or Likely Republican. Minor-party and unaffiliated candidates remain on the ballot but show limited impact in forecasts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,449終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lauren Boebert holds a clear edge in Colorado's 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's strong Republican lean—evident in Donald Trump's double-digit margin there in 2024—and her primary victory. The district's partisan composition and her incumbency advantage underpin trader pricing, even as Democratic challenger Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral and former National Security Council official, has built a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $10 million through June with millions in cash reserves. Laubacher launched her first television ad in early September emphasizing a less partisan approach, but analysts rate the race Solid or Likely Republican. Minor-party and unaffiliated candidates remain on the ballot but show limited impact in forecasts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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