Rebecca Bennett leads trader consensus in the NJ-7 race at 76% implied probability due to the district’s narrow partisan balance and incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress. Kean, a two-term Republican, missed more than 140 roll-call votes while hospitalized for depression before returning to the floor in late June 2026. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot who secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the June primary, has leveraged her military background, small-donor fundraising exceeding $4 million, and emphasis on ethics and affordability to build momentum. The seat, which Donald Trump carried by one point in 2024 and which has flipped parties in recent cycles, remains rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Recent activity includes Bennett’s first general-election ads and joint calls by both candidates for investigations into unrelated state-level allegations, keeping focus on Kean’s legislative record and Bennett’s service profile ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,967 Vol.
$18,967 Vol.
2026/11/03
レベッカ・ベネット（民主党）
76%
トーマス・キーン・ジュニア（共和党）
23%
$18,967 Vol.
$18,967 Vol.
2026/11/03
レベッカ・ベネット（民主党）
$4,164 Vol.
76%
トーマス・キーン・ジュニア（共和党）
$14,803 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Bennett leads trader consensus in the NJ-7 race at 76% implied probability due to the district’s narrow partisan balance and incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress. Kean, a two-term Republican, missed more than 140 roll-call votes while hospitalized for depression before returning to the floor in late June 2026. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot who secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the June primary, has leveraged her military background, small-donor fundraising exceeding $4 million, and emphasis on ethics and affordability to build momentum. The seat, which Donald Trump carried by one point in 2024 and which has flipped parties in recent cycles, remains rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Recent activity includes Bennett’s first general-election ads and joint calls by both candidates for investigations into unrelated state-level allegations, keeping focus on Kean’s legislative record and Bennett’s service profile ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
音量
$18,967終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Bennett leads trader consensus in the NJ-7 race at 76% implied probability due to the district’s narrow partisan balance and incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress. Kean, a two-term Republican, missed more than 140 roll-call votes while hospitalized for depression before returning to the floor in late June 2026. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot who secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the June primary, has leveraged her military background, small-donor fundraising exceeding $4 million, and emphasis on ethics and affordability to build momentum. The seat, which Donald Trump carried by one point in 2024 and which has flipped parties in recent cycles, remains rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Recent activity includes Bennett’s first general-election ads and joint calls by both candidates for investigations into unrelated state-level allegations, keeping focus on Kean’s legislative record and Bennett’s service profile ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,967終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Rebecca Bennett leads trader consensus in the NJ-7 race at 76% implied probability due to the district’s narrow partisan balance and incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress. Kean, a two-term Republican, missed more than 140 roll-call votes while hospitalized for depression before returning to the floor in late June 2026. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot who secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the June primary, has leveraged her military background, small-donor fundraising exceeding $4 million, and emphasis on ethics and affordability to build momentum. The seat, which Donald Trump carried by one point in 2024 and which has flipped parties in recent cycles, remains rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Recent activity includes Bennett’s first general-election ads and joint calls by both candidates for investigations into unrelated state-level allegations, keeping focus on Kean’s legislative record and Bennett’s service profile ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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