Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley maintains a commanding lead in the NY-19 House race, driven by the district’s recent Democratic tilt, his uncontested primary, and a significant fundraising advantage of roughly $4.8 million to Peter Oberacker’s $1.2 million. National Republican groups have recently withdrawn ad reservations and removed Oberacker from priority programs, signaling low expectations for flipping the seat. Oberacker won the GOP primary decisively but operates with constrained resources. Forecasters rate the contest as lean or likely Democratic. Late national shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen developments before the November 3 general election could still alter dynamics in this historically competitive Hudson Valley and Southern Tier district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,985 Vol.
$20,985 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジョシュ・ライリー（民主）
94%
ピーター・オーバーレイカー（共和党）
5%
$20,985 Vol.
$20,985 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジョシュ・ライリー（民主）
$10,142 Vol.
94%
ピーター・オーバーレイカー（共和党）
$10,843 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley maintains a commanding lead in the NY-19 House race, driven by the district’s recent Democratic tilt, his uncontested primary, and a significant fundraising advantage of roughly $4.8 million to Peter Oberacker’s $1.2 million. National Republican groups have recently withdrawn ad reservations and removed Oberacker from priority programs, signaling low expectations for flipping the seat. Oberacker won the GOP primary decisively but operates with constrained resources. Forecasters rate the contest as lean or likely Democratic. Late national shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen developments before the November 3 general election could still alter dynamics in this historically competitive Hudson Valley and Southern Tier district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$20,985終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley maintains a commanding lead in the NY-19 House race, driven by the district’s recent Democratic tilt, his uncontested primary, and a significant fundraising advantage of roughly $4.8 million to Peter Oberacker’s $1.2 million. National Republican groups have recently withdrawn ad reservations and removed Oberacker from priority programs, signaling low expectations for flipping the seat. Oberacker won the GOP primary decisively but operates with constrained resources. Forecasters rate the contest as lean or likely Democratic. Late national shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen developments before the November 3 general election could still alter dynamics in this historically competitive Hudson Valley and Southern Tier district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$20,985終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley maintains a commanding lead in the NY-19 House race, driven by the district’s recent Democratic tilt, his uncontested primary, and a significant fundraising advantage of roughly $4.8 million to Peter Oberacker’s $1.2 million. National Republican groups have recently withdrawn ad reservations and removed Oberacker from priority programs, signaling low expectations for flipping the seat. Oberacker won the GOP primary decisively but operates with constrained resources. Forecasters rate the contest as lean or likely Democratic. Late national shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen developments before the November 3 general election could still alter dynamics in this historically competitive Hudson Valley and Southern Tier district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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