Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad enters the November 3 general election for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District with strong positioning rooted in the seat’s R+6 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin of 17 points. Finstad secured over 90% in the August 11 Republican primary, reflecting party unity, while Democrat Jake Johnson, a Rochester math teacher and first-time candidate, won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district last won by Democrats in 2016. Recent polling averages and forecasting models project Finstad ahead by roughly 9–10 points, consistent with trader consensus. Johnson has matched fundraising totals near $2 million and drawn national Democratic support plus an endorsement from former Republican Governor Arne Carlson, yet limited recent surveys and the district’s rural Republican base continue to anchor probabilities in Finstad’s favor ahead of the general election campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$42,087 Vol.
$42,087 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブラッド・フィンスタッド（共和党）
80%
ジェイク・ジョンソン（民主党）
16%
$42,087 Vol.
$42,087 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブラッド・フィンスタッド（共和党）
$15,930 Vol.
80%
ジェイク・ジョンソン（民主党）
$26,157 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad enters the November 3 general election for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District with strong positioning rooted in the seat’s R+6 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin of 17 points. Finstad secured over 90% in the August 11 Republican primary, reflecting party unity, while Democrat Jake Johnson, a Rochester math teacher and first-time candidate, won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district last won by Democrats in 2016. Recent polling averages and forecasting models project Finstad ahead by roughly 9–10 points, consistent with trader consensus. Johnson has matched fundraising totals near $2 million and drawn national Democratic support plus an endorsement from former Republican Governor Arne Carlson, yet limited recent surveys and the district’s rural Republican base continue to anchor probabilities in Finstad’s favor ahead of the general election campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$42,087終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad enters the November 3 general election for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District with strong positioning rooted in the seat’s R+6 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin of 17 points. Finstad secured over 90% in the August 11 Republican primary, reflecting party unity, while Democrat Jake Johnson, a Rochester math teacher and first-time candidate, won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district last won by Democrats in 2016. Recent polling averages and forecasting models project Finstad ahead by roughly 9–10 points, consistent with trader consensus. Johnson has matched fundraising totals near $2 million and drawn national Democratic support plus an endorsement from former Republican Governor Arne Carlson, yet limited recent surveys and the district’s rural Republican base continue to anchor probabilities in Finstad’s favor ahead of the general election campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$42,087終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad enters the November 3 general election for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District with strong positioning rooted in the seat’s R+6 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin of 17 points. Finstad secured over 90% in the August 11 Republican primary, reflecting party unity, while Democrat Jake Johnson, a Rochester math teacher and first-time candidate, won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district last won by Democrats in 2016. Recent polling averages and forecasting models project Finstad ahead by roughly 9–10 points, consistent with trader consensus. Johnson has matched fundraising totals near $2 million and drawn national Democratic support plus an endorsement from former Republican Governor Arne Carlson, yet limited recent surveys and the district’s rural Republican base continue to anchor probabilities in Finstad’s favor ahead of the general election campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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