Amish Shah holds a strong edge in trader pricing for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District because the open seat sits in a narrow swing district that Trump carried by roughly three points in 2024. Shah, a former state representative and emergency physician, won the July Democratic primary despite opposition from the DCCC and has since secured law enforcement endorsements that highlight his record on public safety and fentanyl legislation. Jay Feely, the Trump-backed former NFL kicker who prevailed in the Republican primary, faces a compressed timeline to close the gap before the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, with high outside spending and voter registration patterns that favor the Democrat’s path in this affluent Phoenix-area seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
アミッシュ・シャー（民主党）
72%
ジェイ・フィーリー（共和党）
28%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
アミッシュ・シャー（民主党）
$6,835 Vol.
72%
ジェイ・フィーリー（共和党）
$1,900 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amish Shah holds a strong edge in trader pricing for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District because the open seat sits in a narrow swing district that Trump carried by roughly three points in 2024. Shah, a former state representative and emergency physician, won the July Democratic primary despite opposition from the DCCC and has since secured law enforcement endorsements that highlight his record on public safety and fentanyl legislation. Jay Feely, the Trump-backed former NFL kicker who prevailed in the Republican primary, faces a compressed timeline to close the gap before the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, with high outside spending and voter registration patterns that favor the Democrat’s path in this affluent Phoenix-area seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
音量
$8,734終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amish Shah holds a strong edge in trader pricing for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District because the open seat sits in a narrow swing district that Trump carried by roughly three points in 2024. Shah, a former state representative and emergency physician, won the July Democratic primary despite opposition from the DCCC and has since secured law enforcement endorsements that highlight his record on public safety and fentanyl legislation. Jay Feely, the Trump-backed former NFL kicker who prevailed in the Republican primary, faces a compressed timeline to close the gap before the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, with high outside spending and voter registration patterns that favor the Democrat’s path in this affluent Phoenix-area seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,734終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Amish Shah holds a strong edge in trader pricing for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District because the open seat sits in a narrow swing district that Trump carried by roughly three points in 2024. Shah, a former state representative and emergency physician, won the July Democratic primary despite opposition from the DCCC and has since secured law enforcement endorsements that highlight his record on public safety and fentanyl legislation. Jay Feely, the Trump-backed former NFL kicker who prevailed in the Republican primary, faces a compressed timeline to close the gap before the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, with high outside spending and voter registration patterns that favor the Democrat’s path in this affluent Phoenix-area seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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