Christina Bohannan holds a strong lead in trader consensus for Iowa’s 1st Congressional District because recent polling averages show her ahead of incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks by roughly three points, and the race has narrowed sharply in successive cycles. Both candidates cleared their June 2 primaries by wide margins, setting up a third rematch in a seat rated toss-up by most forecasters. Bohannan has matched the incumbent’s fundraising at roughly $7 million each while emphasizing affordability and healthcare access. Republicans have framed the contest as critical to retaining House control, but the district’s history of sub-1,000-vote margins in 2024 and consistent Democratic targeting have shifted implied probabilities toward the challenger ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,244 Vol.
$28,244 Vol.
2026/11/03
クリスティーナ・ボハナン（民主党）
74%
マリアネット・ミラー＝ミークス（共和党）
23%
$28,244 Vol.
$28,244 Vol.
2026/11/03
クリスティーナ・ボハナン（民主党）
$18,492 Vol.
74%
マリアネット・ミラー＝ミークス（共和党）
$9,753 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Bohannan holds a strong lead in trader consensus for Iowa’s 1st Congressional District because recent polling averages show her ahead of incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks by roughly three points, and the race has narrowed sharply in successive cycles. Both candidates cleared their June 2 primaries by wide margins, setting up a third rematch in a seat rated toss-up by most forecasters. Bohannan has matched the incumbent’s fundraising at roughly $7 million each while emphasizing affordability and healthcare access. Republicans have framed the contest as critical to retaining House control, but the district’s history of sub-1,000-vote margins in 2024 and consistent Democratic targeting have shifted implied probabilities toward the challenger ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
音量
$28,244終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Bohannan holds a strong lead in trader consensus for Iowa’s 1st Congressional District because recent polling averages show her ahead of incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks by roughly three points, and the race has narrowed sharply in successive cycles. Both candidates cleared their June 2 primaries by wide margins, setting up a third rematch in a seat rated toss-up by most forecasters. Bohannan has matched the incumbent’s fundraising at roughly $7 million each while emphasizing affordability and healthcare access. Republicans have framed the contest as critical to retaining House control, but the district’s history of sub-1,000-vote margins in 2024 and consistent Democratic targeting have shifted implied probabilities toward the challenger ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$28,244終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Christina Bohannan holds a strong lead in trader consensus for Iowa’s 1st Congressional District because recent polling averages show her ahead of incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks by roughly three points, and the race has narrowed sharply in successive cycles. Both candidates cleared their June 2 primaries by wide margins, setting up a third rematch in a seat rated toss-up by most forecasters. Bohannan has matched the incumbent’s fundraising at roughly $7 million each while emphasizing affordability and healthcare access. Republicans have framed the contest as critical to retaining House control, but the district’s history of sub-1,000-vote margins in 2024 and consistent Democratic targeting have shifted implied probabilities toward the challenger ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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