Incumbent Rick Larsen's commanding position in Washington's 2nd congressional district stems from his long tenure since 2001, consistent reelection margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, and the district's Democratic lean, including an 8.5-point Harris margin in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic based on fundamentals and the August 2026 top-two primary, where Larsen captured 44.9 percent to advance against Republican Edwin Feller, an 83-year-old political newcomer who received 32.9 percent. Feller's lack of prior elected experience and limited name recognition further constrain Republican prospects ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unforeseen health events, major scandals, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$30,902 Vol.
$30,902 Vol.
2026/11/02
リック・ラーセン（民主党）
97%
エドウィン・フェラー（共和党）
1%
$30,902 Vol.
$30,902 Vol.
2026/11/02
リック・ラーセン（民主党）
$13,157 Vol.
97%
エドウィン・フェラー（共和党）
$17,745 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Larsen's commanding position in Washington's 2nd congressional district stems from his long tenure since 2001, consistent reelection margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, and the district's Democratic lean, including an 8.5-point Harris margin in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic based on fundamentals and the August 2026 top-two primary, where Larsen captured 44.9 percent to advance against Republican Edwin Feller, an 83-year-old political newcomer who received 32.9 percent. Feller's lack of prior elected experience and limited name recognition further constrain Republican prospects ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unforeseen health events, major scandals, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$30,902終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Larsen's commanding position in Washington's 2nd congressional district stems from his long tenure since 2001, consistent reelection margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, and the district's Democratic lean, including an 8.5-point Harris margin in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic based on fundamentals and the August 2026 top-two primary, where Larsen captured 44.9 percent to advance against Republican Edwin Feller, an 83-year-old political newcomer who received 32.9 percent. Feller's lack of prior elected experience and limited name recognition further constrain Republican prospects ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unforeseen health events, major scandals, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$30,902終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rick Larsen's commanding position in Washington's 2nd congressional district stems from his long tenure since 2001, consistent reelection margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, and the district's Democratic lean, including an 8.5-point Harris margin in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic based on fundamentals and the August 2026 top-two primary, where Larsen captured 44.9 percent to advance against Republican Edwin Feller, an 83-year-old political newcomer who received 32.9 percent. Feller's lack of prior elected experience and limited name recognition further constrain Republican prospects ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unforeseen health events, major scandals, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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