Incumbent Democratic Representative Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district on November 3. The Southeast Queens district’s D+24 partisan voter index and Meeks’s 73 percent 2024 reelection margin underpin the 96.8 percent Democratic implied probability. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and minimal Republican infrastructure. Meeks ran unopposed in the June primary with substantial fundraising, while the Republican nominee raised nothing and drew no notable endorsements or national attention. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts indicate limited volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$63,526 Vol.
$63,526 Vol.
2026/11/02
グレゴリー・ミークス（民主党）
97%
ジョージ・マーシュ（共和党）
1%
$63,526 Vol.
$63,526 Vol.
2026/11/02
グレゴリー・ミークス（民主党）
$21,339 Vol.
97%
ジョージ・マーシュ（共和党）
$42,187 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district on November 3. The Southeast Queens district’s D+24 partisan voter index and Meeks’s 73 percent 2024 reelection margin underpin the 96.8 percent Democratic implied probability. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and minimal Republican infrastructure. Meeks ran unopposed in the June primary with substantial fundraising, while the Republican nominee raised nothing and drew no notable endorsements or national attention. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts indicate limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$63,526終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district on November 3. The Southeast Queens district’s D+24 partisan voter index and Meeks’s 73 percent 2024 reelection margin underpin the 96.8 percent Democratic implied probability. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and minimal Republican infrastructure. Meeks ran unopposed in the June primary with substantial fundraising, while the Republican nominee raised nothing and drew no notable endorsements or national attention. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts indicate limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$63,526終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district on November 3. The Southeast Queens district’s D+24 partisan voter index and Meeks’s 73 percent 2024 reelection margin underpin the 96.8 percent Democratic implied probability. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and minimal Republican infrastructure. Meeks ran unopposed in the June primary with substantial fundraising, while the Republican nominee raised nothing and drew no notable endorsements or national attention. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts indicate limited volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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