Paul LePage holds the edge in trader consensus for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District because the open, rural seat has favored Republicans in recent presidential voting and the former governor retains strong name recognition from his prior statewide wins there. Matthew Dunlap secured the Democratic nomination through ranked-choice voting in June after the retirement of moderate incumbent Jared Golden, but his progressive platform drew skepticism from national party strategists who preferred a more centrist alternative. Recent polling through September shows the matchup essentially tied or within a few points, reflecting the district’s competitive history and the absence of major late-breaking developments. Fundraising, turnout among working-class voters, and any national midterm dynamics could still shift the balance before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
ポール・ルページ（共和党）
57%
マシュー・ダンラップ（民主党）
42%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
ポール・ルページ（共和党）
$5,840 Vol.
57%
マシュー・ダンラップ（民主党）
$2,663 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paul LePage holds the edge in trader consensus for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District because the open, rural seat has favored Republicans in recent presidential voting and the former governor retains strong name recognition from his prior statewide wins there. Matthew Dunlap secured the Democratic nomination through ranked-choice voting in June after the retirement of moderate incumbent Jared Golden, but his progressive platform drew skepticism from national party strategists who preferred a more centrist alternative. Recent polling through September shows the matchup essentially tied or within a few points, reflecting the district’s competitive history and the absence of major late-breaking developments. Fundraising, turnout among working-class voters, and any national midterm dynamics could still shift the balance before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
音量
$8,503終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paul LePage holds the edge in trader consensus for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District because the open, rural seat has favored Republicans in recent presidential voting and the former governor retains strong name recognition from his prior statewide wins there. Matthew Dunlap secured the Democratic nomination through ranked-choice voting in June after the retirement of moderate incumbent Jared Golden, but his progressive platform drew skepticism from national party strategists who preferred a more centrist alternative. Recent polling through September shows the matchup essentially tied or within a few points, reflecting the district’s competitive history and the absence of major late-breaking developments. Fundraising, turnout among working-class voters, and any national midterm dynamics could still shift the balance before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,503終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Paul LePage holds the edge in trader consensus for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District because the open, rural seat has favored Republicans in recent presidential voting and the former governor retains strong name recognition from his prior statewide wins there. Matthew Dunlap secured the Democratic nomination through ranked-choice voting in June after the retirement of moderate incumbent Jared Golden, but his progressive platform drew skepticism from national party strategists who preferred a more centrist alternative. Recent polling through September shows the matchup essentially tied or within a few points, reflecting the district’s competitive history and the absence of major late-breaking developments. Fundraising, turnout among working-class voters, and any national midterm dynamics could still shift the balance before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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