The open NY-21 seat, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik in a district Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024, favors the GOP nominee Anthony Constantino after his decisive primary win over state Assemblyman Robert Smullen. Constantino, a self-funding Sticker Mule CEO backed by President Trump, secured nearly 60% of the Republican primary vote despite party establishment resistance and elevated personal unfavorables. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who won his primary comfortably, has highlighted local issues and released internal polling showing a statistical tie, though subsequent surveys have varied. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan baseline and Constantino’s resources and nomination strength heading into the November general election, even as Democratic outreach to moderates and independents continues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$65,370 Vol.
$65,370 Vol.
2026/11/02
アンソニー・コンスタンティーノ（共和党）
74%
ブレイク・ジャンドビエン（民主党）
26%
$65,370 Vol.
$65,370 Vol.
2026/11/02
アンソニー・コンスタンティーノ（共和党）
$34,141 Vol.
74%
ブレイク・ジャンドビエン（民主党）
$31,230 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open NY-21 seat, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik in a district Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024, favors the GOP nominee Anthony Constantino after his decisive primary win over state Assemblyman Robert Smullen. Constantino, a self-funding Sticker Mule CEO backed by President Trump, secured nearly 60% of the Republican primary vote despite party establishment resistance and elevated personal unfavorables. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who won his primary comfortably, has highlighted local issues and released internal polling showing a statistical tie, though subsequent surveys have varied. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan baseline and Constantino’s resources and nomination strength heading into the November general election, even as Democratic outreach to moderates and independents continues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$65,370終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open NY-21 seat, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik in a district Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024, favors the GOP nominee Anthony Constantino after his decisive primary win over state Assemblyman Robert Smullen. Constantino, a self-funding Sticker Mule CEO backed by President Trump, secured nearly 60% of the Republican primary vote despite party establishment resistance and elevated personal unfavorables. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who won his primary comfortably, has highlighted local issues and released internal polling showing a statistical tie, though subsequent surveys have varied. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan baseline and Constantino’s resources and nomination strength heading into the November general election, even as Democratic outreach to moderates and independents continues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$65,370終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The open NY-21 seat, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik in a district Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024, favors the GOP nominee Anthony Constantino after his decisive primary win over state Assemblyman Robert Smullen. Constantino, a self-funding Sticker Mule CEO backed by President Trump, secured nearly 60% of the Republican primary vote despite party establishment resistance and elevated personal unfavorables. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who won his primary comfortably, has highlighted local issues and released internal polling showing a statistical tie, though subsequent surveys have varied. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan baseline and Constantino’s resources and nomination strength heading into the November general election, even as Democratic outreach to moderates and independents continues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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