**Bob Onder, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding lead in Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** He secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 66% against challenger John Fraser and benefits from strong fundraising—nearly $950,000 raised versus roughly $43,000 for Democratic nominee Bethany Mann, who won her primary with 69%. The district’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by Onder’s 26-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Recent redistricting litigation, including a Missouri Supreme Court ruling and a federal temporary restraining order affecting map implementation, has created procedural uncertainty but has not materially shifted the competitive balance. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large swing in voter turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a candidate health issue or significant scandal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,331 Vol.
$28,331 Vol.
2026/11/02
ボブ・オンダー（共和党）
93%
ベサニー・マン（民主党）
7%
$28,331 Vol.
$28,331 Vol.
2026/11/02
ボブ・オンダー（共和党）
$12,585 Vol.
93%
ベサニー・マン（民主党）
$15,746 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Bob Onder, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding lead in Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** He secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 66% against challenger John Fraser and benefits from strong fundraising—nearly $950,000 raised versus roughly $43,000 for Democratic nominee Bethany Mann, who won her primary with 69%. The district’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by Onder’s 26-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Recent redistricting litigation, including a Missouri Supreme Court ruling and a federal temporary restraining order affecting map implementation, has created procedural uncertainty but has not materially shifted the competitive balance. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large swing in voter turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a candidate health issue or significant scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$28,331終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Bob Onder, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding lead in Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** He secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 66% against challenger John Fraser and benefits from strong fundraising—nearly $950,000 raised versus roughly $43,000 for Democratic nominee Bethany Mann, who won her primary with 69%. The district’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by Onder’s 26-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Recent redistricting litigation, including a Missouri Supreme Court ruling and a federal temporary restraining order affecting map implementation, has created procedural uncertainty but has not materially shifted the competitive balance. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large swing in voter turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a candidate health issue or significant scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$28,331終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...**Bob Onder, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding lead in Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** He secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 66% against challenger John Fraser and benefits from strong fundraising—nearly $950,000 raised versus roughly $43,000 for Democratic nominee Bethany Mann, who won her primary with 69%. The district’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by Onder’s 26-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Recent redistricting litigation, including a Missouri Supreme Court ruling and a federal temporary restraining order affecting map implementation, has created procedural uncertainty but has not materially shifted the competitive balance. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large swing in voter turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a candidate health issue or significant scandal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問