Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in New York's 20th congressional district, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and his long record of reelection in a seat rated Solid Democrat by multiple forecasters. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, leaving Tonko with extensive name recognition, superior fundraising, and institutional support ahead of the November 3 general election. The Republican challenger, Ralph Ambrosio, has raised far less and lacks visible momentum in a district that has favored Democrats by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices Tonko near 96 percent, consistent with historical patterns for similar safe seats. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political realignment could still shift the race before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$35,403 Vol.
$35,403 Vol.
2026/11/02
ポール・トンコ（民主党）
96%
ラルフ・アンブロジオ（共和党）
3%
$35,403 Vol.
$35,403 Vol.
2026/11/02
ポール・トンコ（民主党）
$16,564 Vol.
96%
ラルフ・アンブロジオ（共和党）
$18,839 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in New York's 20th congressional district, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and his long record of reelection in a seat rated Solid Democrat by multiple forecasters. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, leaving Tonko with extensive name recognition, superior fundraising, and institutional support ahead of the November 3 general election. The Republican challenger, Ralph Ambrosio, has raised far less and lacks visible momentum in a district that has favored Democrats by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices Tonko near 96 percent, consistent with historical patterns for similar safe seats. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political realignment could still shift the race before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$35,403終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in New York's 20th congressional district, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and his long record of reelection in a seat rated Solid Democrat by multiple forecasters. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, leaving Tonko with extensive name recognition, superior fundraising, and institutional support ahead of the November 3 general election. The Republican challenger, Ralph Ambrosio, has raised far less and lacks visible momentum in a district that has favored Democrats by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices Tonko near 96 percent, consistent with historical patterns for similar safe seats. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political realignment could still shift the race before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$35,403終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in New York's 20th congressional district, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and his long record of reelection in a seat rated Solid Democrat by multiple forecasters. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, leaving Tonko with extensive name recognition, superior fundraising, and institutional support ahead of the November 3 general election. The Republican challenger, Ralph Ambrosio, has raised far less and lacks visible momentum in a district that has favored Democrats by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices Tonko near 96 percent, consistent with historical patterns for similar safe seats. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political realignment could still shift the race before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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