Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the New York 22nd congressional district race, backed by his 2024 victory, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.9 million raised with nearly $1.8 million cash on hand, and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Democratic seat from multiple forecasters. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, limiting early volatility, while challenger Kailee Buller has raised under $270,000 amid limited national Republican investment in the Central New York district. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from major national developments, late-breaking scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though structural advantages currently align with trader consensus on the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,693 Vol.
$22,693 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジョン・マンニオン（民主党）
94%
ケイリー・ブラー（共和党）
6%
$22,693 Vol.
$22,693 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジョン・マンニオン（民主党）
$11,334 Vol.
94%
ケイリー・ブラー（共和党）
$11,358 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the New York 22nd congressional district race, backed by his 2024 victory, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.9 million raised with nearly $1.8 million cash on hand, and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Democratic seat from multiple forecasters. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, limiting early volatility, while challenger Kailee Buller has raised under $270,000 amid limited national Republican investment in the Central New York district. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from major national developments, late-breaking scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though structural advantages currently align with trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$22,693終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the New York 22nd congressional district race, backed by his 2024 victory, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.9 million raised with nearly $1.8 million cash on hand, and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Democratic seat from multiple forecasters. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, limiting early volatility, while challenger Kailee Buller has raised under $270,000 amid limited national Republican investment in the Central New York district. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from major national developments, late-breaking scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though structural advantages currently align with trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$22,693終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the New York 22nd congressional district race, backed by his 2024 victory, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.9 million raised with nearly $1.8 million cash on hand, and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Democratic seat from multiple forecasters. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, limiting early volatility, while challenger Kailee Buller has raised under $270,000 amid limited national Republican investment in the Central New York district. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from major national developments, late-breaking scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though structural advantages currently align with trader consensus on the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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