Redistricting following a U.S. Supreme Court ruling eliminated the prior majority-Black configuration of Louisiana’s 6th congressional district and produced new boundaries anchored around Baton Rouge that favor Republicans by wide margins, including a 2024 presidential vote share exceeding 60 percent for the GOP. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields withdrew rather than seek reelection under the revised lines, leaving a crowded field of Republican state legislators and other candidates facing only limited Democratic opposition in the November 3 open primary. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan registration edge and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though a fragmented Republican primary performance that sends a Democrat into a December runoff remains the clearest path for an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$69,142 Vol.
$69,142 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$69,142 Vol.
$69,142 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$39,014 Vol.
93%
民主党
$30,128 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following a U.S. Supreme Court ruling eliminated the prior majority-Black configuration of Louisiana’s 6th congressional district and produced new boundaries anchored around Baton Rouge that favor Republicans by wide margins, including a 2024 presidential vote share exceeding 60 percent for the GOP. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields withdrew rather than seek reelection under the revised lines, leaving a crowded field of Republican state legislators and other candidates facing only limited Democratic opposition in the November 3 open primary. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan registration edge and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though a fragmented Republican primary performance that sends a Democrat into a December runoff remains the clearest path for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$69,142終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following a U.S. Supreme Court ruling eliminated the prior majority-Black configuration of Louisiana’s 6th congressional district and produced new boundaries anchored around Baton Rouge that favor Republicans by wide margins, including a 2024 presidential vote share exceeding 60 percent for the GOP. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields withdrew rather than seek reelection under the revised lines, leaving a crowded field of Republican state legislators and other candidates facing only limited Democratic opposition in the November 3 open primary. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan registration edge and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though a fragmented Republican primary performance that sends a Democrat into a December runoff remains the clearest path for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$69,142終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting following a U.S. Supreme Court ruling eliminated the prior majority-Black configuration of Louisiana’s 6th congressional district and produced new boundaries anchored around Baton Rouge that favor Republicans by wide margins, including a 2024 presidential vote share exceeding 60 percent for the GOP. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields withdrew rather than seek reelection under the revised lines, leaving a crowded field of Republican state legislators and other candidates facing only limited Democratic opposition in the November 3 open primary. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan registration edge and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though a fragmented Republican primary performance that sends a Democrat into a December runoff remains the clearest path for an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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