**Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the district’s Republican lean, her long tenure since 2013, and a substantial fundraising advantage.** Both candidates advanced from the August 4 primaries, with Wagner defeating several challengers by a wide margin and Wellman narrowly securing the Democratic nomination. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and the incumbent’s established base. Wellman, a military veteran, has sought to highlight biography and policy contrasts in a district that includes suburban St. Louis County areas, but limited cash on hand compared with Wagner’s multimillion-dollar resources has constrained his visibility. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors, though the race remains subject to national political dynamics or late-cycle shifts in turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,537 Vol.
$10,537 Vol.
2026/11/02
アン・ワグナー（共和党）
68%
フレッド・ウェルマン（民主党）
31%
$10,537 Vol.
$10,537 Vol.
2026/11/02
アン・ワグナー（共和党）
$5,614 Vol.
68%
フレッド・ウェルマン（民主党）
$4,924 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the district’s Republican lean, her long tenure since 2013, and a substantial fundraising advantage.** Both candidates advanced from the August 4 primaries, with Wagner defeating several challengers by a wide margin and Wellman narrowly securing the Democratic nomination. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and the incumbent’s established base. Wellman, a military veteran, has sought to highlight biography and policy contrasts in a district that includes suburban St. Louis County areas, but limited cash on hand compared with Wagner’s multimillion-dollar resources has constrained his visibility. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors, though the race remains subject to national political dynamics or late-cycle shifts in turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$10,537終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the district’s Republican lean, her long tenure since 2013, and a substantial fundraising advantage.** Both candidates advanced from the August 4 primaries, with Wagner defeating several challengers by a wide margin and Wellman narrowly securing the Democratic nomination. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and the incumbent’s established base. Wellman, a military veteran, has sought to highlight biography and policy contrasts in a district that includes suburban St. Louis County areas, but limited cash on hand compared with Wagner’s multimillion-dollar resources has constrained his visibility. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors, though the race remains subject to national political dynamics or late-cycle shifts in turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,537終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the district’s Republican lean, her long tenure since 2013, and a substantial fundraising advantage.** Both candidates advanced from the August 4 primaries, with Wagner defeating several challengers by a wide margin and Wellman narrowly securing the Democratic nomination. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and the incumbent’s established base. Wellman, a military veteran, has sought to highlight biography and policy contrasts in a district that includes suburban St. Louis County areas, but limited cash on hand compared with Wagner’s multimillion-dollar resources has constrained his visibility. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors, though the race remains subject to national political dynamics or late-cycle shifts in turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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