João Azevêdo (PSB) holds a commanding position in the Paraíba Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling leads of 27-53% in August and early September 2026 surveys that measure first and consolidated votes. As the former governor who resigned to pursue the seat, Azevêdo benefits from name recognition, a broad coalition including PSB and allied parties, and strong first-choice support in multiple institutes' data. Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), the incumbent seeking re-election, trails in second with 17-37% but remains the clearest challenger through his established base and coalition. The remaining field of over two dozen candidates, including Marcelo Queiroga (PL), Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos), and others, registers far lower shares, reflecting a fragmented contest ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent candidate registrations and sabatinas have not altered the top-two dynamic.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJoao Azevêdo 85%
Veneziano 13.6%
Nabor 1.8%
João Batista <1%
$14,142 Vol.
$14,142 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Joao Azevêdo
85%
Veneziano
14%
Nabor
2%
João Batista
1%
André Gadelha
<1%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Major Fábio
<1%
Rinaldo Júnior
<1%
Adriano Trajano
<1%
Rosilene Santana
<1%
Joao Azevêdo 85%
Veneziano 13.6%
Nabor 1.8%
João Batista <1%
$14,142 Vol.
$14,142 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Joao Azevêdo
$8,388 Vol.
85%
Veneziano
$1,899 Vol.
14%
Nabor
$576 Vol.
2%
João Batista
$420 Vol.
1%
André Gadelha
$466 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
$437 Vol.
<1%
Major Fábio
$419 Vol.
<1%
Rinaldo Júnior
$475 Vol.
<1%
Adriano Trajano
$507 Vol.
<1%
Rosilene Santana
$554 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).João Azevêdo (PSB) holds a commanding position in the Paraíba Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling leads of 27-53% in August and early September 2026 surveys that measure first and consolidated votes. As the former governor who resigned to pursue the seat, Azevêdo benefits from name recognition, a broad coalition including PSB and allied parties, and strong first-choice support in multiple institutes' data. Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), the incumbent seeking re-election, trails in second with 17-37% but remains the clearest challenger through his established base and coalition. The remaining field of over two dozen candidates, including Marcelo Queiroga (PL), Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos), and others, registers far lower shares, reflecting a fragmented contest ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent candidate registrations and sabatinas have not altered the top-two dynamic.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$14,142End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).João Azevêdo (PSB) holds a commanding position in the Paraíba Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling leads of 27-53% in August and early September 2026 surveys that measure first and consolidated votes. As the former governor who resigned to pursue the seat, Azevêdo benefits from name recognition, a broad coalition including PSB and allied parties, and strong first-choice support in multiple institutes' data. Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), the incumbent seeking re-election, trails in second with 17-37% but remains the clearest challenger through his established base and coalition. The remaining field of over two dozen candidates, including Marcelo Queiroga (PL), Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos), and others, registers far lower shares, reflecting a fragmented contest ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent candidate registrations and sabatinas have not altered the top-two dynamic.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$14,142End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...João Azevêdo (PSB) holds a commanding position in the Paraíba Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling leads of 27-53% in August and early September 2026 surveys that measure first and consolidated votes. As the former governor who resigned to pursue the seat, Azevêdo benefits from name recognition, a broad coalition including PSB and allied parties, and strong first-choice support in multiple institutes' data. Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), the incumbent seeking re-election, trails in second with 17-37% but remains the clearest challenger through his established base and coalition. The remaining field of over two dozen candidates, including Marcelo Queiroga (PL), Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos), and others, registers far lower shares, reflecting a fragmented contest ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent candidate registrations and sabatinas have not altered the top-two dynamic.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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