Teresa Surita’s multiple prior terms as Boa Vista mayor and federal deputy provide the strongest name recognition and organizational base in a crowded field of 13 candidates for Roraima’s two Senate seats. Recent Quaest polling from late August showed her leading first-preference votes at 19-26 percent, narrowly ahead of federal deputy Nicoletti and Helena da Asatur, with Chico Rodrigues and others further back amid 67 percent undecided or blank responses. Traders assign Surita the clearest edge for first place at 53.5 percent implied probability, yet the race stays competitive because vote splitting across parties, late campaign shifts, and low-visibility challengers could still reorder the final ranking before October 4.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTeresa Surita 54%
Nicoletti 29.0%
Helena da Asatur 10.1%
Chico Rodrigues 3.4%
$51,537 Vol.
$51,537 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
54%
Nicoletti
29%
Helena da Asatur
10%
Chico Rodrigues
3%
Helio Bolsonaro
3%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Teresa Surita 54%
Nicoletti 29.0%
Helena da Asatur 10.1%
Chico Rodrigues 3.4%
$51,537 Vol.
$51,537 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
$21,937 Vol.
54%
Nicoletti
$10,920 Vol.
29%
Helena da Asatur
$3,022 Vol.
10%
Chico Rodrigues
$1,533 Vol.
3%
Helio Bolsonaro
$8,801 Vol.
3%
Bartô Macuxi
$457 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$687 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$794 Vol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$702 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$900 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$616 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$692 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$476 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita’s multiple prior terms as Boa Vista mayor and federal deputy provide the strongest name recognition and organizational base in a crowded field of 13 candidates for Roraima’s two Senate seats. Recent Quaest polling from late August showed her leading first-preference votes at 19-26 percent, narrowly ahead of federal deputy Nicoletti and Helena da Asatur, with Chico Rodrigues and others further back amid 67 percent undecided or blank responses. Traders assign Surita the clearest edge for first place at 53.5 percent implied probability, yet the race stays competitive because vote splitting across parties, late campaign shifts, and low-visibility challengers could still reorder the final ranking before October 4.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$51,537End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita’s multiple prior terms as Boa Vista mayor and federal deputy provide the strongest name recognition and organizational base in a crowded field of 13 candidates for Roraima’s two Senate seats. Recent Quaest polling from late August showed her leading first-preference votes at 19-26 percent, narrowly ahead of federal deputy Nicoletti and Helena da Asatur, with Chico Rodrigues and others further back amid 67 percent undecided or blank responses. Traders assign Surita the clearest edge for first place at 53.5 percent implied probability, yet the race stays competitive because vote splitting across parties, late campaign shifts, and low-visibility challengers could still reorder the final ranking before October 4.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$51,537End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita’s multiple prior terms as Boa Vista mayor and federal deputy provide the strongest name recognition and organizational base in a crowded field of 13 candidates for Roraima’s two Senate seats. Recent Quaest polling from late August showed her leading first-preference votes at 19-26 percent, narrowly ahead of federal deputy Nicoletti and Helena da Asatur, with Chico Rodrigues and others further back amid 67 percent undecided or blank responses. Traders assign Surita the clearest edge for first place at 53.5 percent implied probability, yet the race stays competitive because vote splitting across parties, late campaign shifts, and low-visibility challengers could still reorder the final ranking before October 4.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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