Recent polling from late August 2026 shows João Azevêdo (PSB) leading consolidated first- and second-choice intentions for the two Paraíba Senate seats at 27-29%, followed by incumbent Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 17-23%, with Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos) and Marcelo Queiroga (PL) further back. This consistent gap across Real Time Big Data and Quaest surveys underpins trader consensus on Veneziano for second place ahead of the October 4 election. Lower odds for other listed candidates reflect their single-digit or negligible support in the same data, while elevated pricing on many names captures residual uncertainty in a field of roughly ten contenders where voters select two senators. No major campaign shifts or endorsements have altered these relative standings in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVeneziano 79%
Nabor 20%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga 2.9%
Joao Azevêdo 1.4%
$21,032 Vol.
$21,032 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Veneziano
68%
Nabor
20%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
3%
Joao Azevêdo
1%
André Gadelha
<1%
Major Fábio
<1%
Adriano Trajano
<1%
Rosilene Santana
<1%
João Batista
<1%
Rinaldo Júnior
<1%
Veneziano 79%
Nabor 20%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga 2.9%
Joao Azevêdo 1.4%
$21,032 Vol.
$21,032 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Veneziano
$10,607 Vol.
68%
Nabor
$3,719 Vol.
20%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
$890 Vol.
3%
Joao Azevêdo
$800 Vol.
1%
André Gadelha
$666 Vol.
<1%
Major Fábio
$706 Vol.
<1%
Adriano Trajano
$1,887 Vol.
<1%
Rosilene Santana
$685 Vol.
<1%
João Batista
$459 Vol.
<1%
Rinaldo Júnior
$613 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August 2026 shows João Azevêdo (PSB) leading consolidated first- and second-choice intentions for the two Paraíba Senate seats at 27-29%, followed by incumbent Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 17-23%, with Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos) and Marcelo Queiroga (PL) further back. This consistent gap across Real Time Big Data and Quaest surveys underpins trader consensus on Veneziano for second place ahead of the October 4 election. Lower odds for other listed candidates reflect their single-digit or negligible support in the same data, while elevated pricing on many names captures residual uncertainty in a field of roughly ten contenders where voters select two senators. No major campaign shifts or endorsements have altered these relative standings in recent weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Volume
$21,032End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August 2026 shows João Azevêdo (PSB) leading consolidated first- and second-choice intentions for the two Paraíba Senate seats at 27-29%, followed by incumbent Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 17-23%, with Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos) and Marcelo Queiroga (PL) further back. This consistent gap across Real Time Big Data and Quaest surveys underpins trader consensus on Veneziano for second place ahead of the October 4 election. Lower odds for other listed candidates reflect their single-digit or negligible support in the same data, while elevated pricing on many names captures residual uncertainty in a field of roughly ten contenders where voters select two senators. No major campaign shifts or endorsements have altered these relative standings in recent weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$21,032End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August 2026 shows João Azevêdo (PSB) leading consolidated first- and second-choice intentions for the two Paraíba Senate seats at 27-29%, followed by incumbent Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 17-23%, with Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos) and Marcelo Queiroga (PL) further back. This consistent gap across Real Time Big Data and Quaest surveys underpins trader consensus on Veneziano for second place ahead of the October 4 election. Lower odds for other listed candidates reflect their single-digit or negligible support in the same data, while elevated pricing on many names captures residual uncertainty in a field of roughly ten contenders where voters select two senators. No major campaign shifts or endorsements have altered these relative standings in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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