Cleitinho Azevedo holds a commanding position in the Minas Gerais governor race due to consistent polling leads in early September surveys, including 32% in Quaest and 31-41% in other recent data, well ahead of Patrus Ananias (PT) and Alexandre Kalil (PDT) at around 11% each, with the incumbent Mateus Simões trailing further. He also leads all tested second-round matchups by wide margins. Traders interpret this as evidence of consolidated support tied to his Republicanos candidacy, municipalist background, and proposals on taxes, debt renegotiation, and infrastructure ahead of the October first round. High undecided shares and the potential for late developments such as scandals or shifts in voter turnout could still narrow the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCleitinho Azevedo 90.3%
Patrus Ananias 6.5%
Gabriel Azevedo 1.5%
Alexandre Kalil 1.2%
$388,802 Vol.
$388,802 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
90%
Patrus Ananias
7%
Gabriel Azevedo
1%
Alexandre Kalil
1%
Mateus Simões
1%
Rodrigo Pacheco
1%
Flávio Roscoe
<1%
Benoni Mendes
<1%
Luís Eduardo Falcão
<1%
Nikolas Ferreira
<1%
Aécio Neves
<1%
Marcelo Aro
<1%
Euclydes Pettersen
<1%
Tadeu Leite
<1%
Alexandre Silveira
<1%
Gleidson Azevedo
<1%
Vittorio Medioli
<1%
Cleitinho Azevedo 90.3%
Patrus Ananias 6.5%
Gabriel Azevedo 1.5%
Alexandre Kalil 1.2%
$388,802 Vol.
$388,802 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
$170,490 Vol.
90%
Patrus Ananias
$12,738 Vol.
7%
Gabriel Azevedo
$10,398 Vol.
1%
Alexandre Kalil
$40,128 Vol.
1%
Mateus Simões
$32,872 Vol.
1%
Rodrigo Pacheco
$20,973 Vol.
1%
Flávio Roscoe
$10,345 Vol.
<1%
Benoni Mendes
$7,280 Vol.
<1%
Luís Eduardo Falcão
$7,568 Vol.
<1%
Nikolas Ferreira
$8,651 Vol.
<1%
Aécio Neves
$5,839 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Aro
$34,138 Vol.
<1%
Euclydes Pettersen
$5,245 Vol.
<1%
Tadeu Leite
$6,282 Vol.
<1%
Alexandre Silveira
$5,535 Vol.
<1%
Gleidson Azevedo
$4,981 Vol.
<1%
Vittorio Medioli
$5,340 Vol.
<1%
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo holds a commanding position in the Minas Gerais governor race due to consistent polling leads in early September surveys, including 32% in Quaest and 31-41% in other recent data, well ahead of Patrus Ananias (PT) and Alexandre Kalil (PDT) at around 11% each, with the incumbent Mateus Simões trailing further. He also leads all tested second-round matchups by wide margins. Traders interpret this as evidence of consolidated support tied to his Republicanos candidacy, municipalist background, and proposals on taxes, debt renegotiation, and infrastructure ahead of the October first round. High undecided shares and the potential for late developments such as scandals or shifts in voter turnout could still narrow the gap.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$388,802End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo holds a commanding position in the Minas Gerais governor race due to consistent polling leads in early September surveys, including 32% in Quaest and 31-41% in other recent data, well ahead of Patrus Ananias (PT) and Alexandre Kalil (PDT) at around 11% each, with the incumbent Mateus Simões trailing further. He also leads all tested second-round matchups by wide margins. Traders interpret this as evidence of consolidated support tied to his Republicanos candidacy, municipalist background, and proposals on taxes, debt renegotiation, and infrastructure ahead of the October first round. High undecided shares and the potential for late developments such as scandals or shifts in voter turnout could still narrow the gap.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$388,802End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleitinho Azevedo holds a commanding position in the Minas Gerais governor race due to consistent polling leads in early September surveys, including 32% in Quaest and 31-41% in other recent data, well ahead of Patrus Ananias (PT) and Alexandre Kalil (PDT) at around 11% each, with the incumbent Mateus Simões trailing further. He also leads all tested second-round matchups by wide margins. Traders interpret this as evidence of consolidated support tied to his Republicanos candidacy, municipalist background, and proposals on taxes, debt renegotiation, and infrastructure ahead of the October first round. High undecided shares and the potential for late developments such as scandals or shifts in voter turnout could still narrow the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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