Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Roraima presidential polling for the October 4 first round, with recent surveys showing him at 52-62% support against Lula's 17-18% and single-digit or lower shares for other names. This edge stems from sustained regional backing for the Liberal Party (PL) and Bolsonarismo in the northern Amazon state, reinforced by Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement of his son, strong PL performance in concurrent gubernatorial races, and alignment with local agricultural and evangelical voter priorities. Trader consensus at 97.8% for Flávio reflects these consistent state-level trends. Potential shifts could arise from late undecided voter movement (around 20% in some polls), unexpected consolidation among fragmented right-leaning options, or turnout variations, though current evidence shows limited momentum for challengers in the state.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlavio Bolsonaro 98.0%
Lula 1.6%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
98%
Lula
2%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 98.0%
Lula 1.6%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3,652 Vol.
98%
Lula
$688 Vol.
2%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$575 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$581 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$438 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$498 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$528 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$492 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$448 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$448 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$448 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$416 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$418 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Roraima presidential polling for the October 4 first round, with recent surveys showing him at 52-62% support against Lula's 17-18% and single-digit or lower shares for other names. This edge stems from sustained regional backing for the Liberal Party (PL) and Bolsonarismo in the northern Amazon state, reinforced by Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement of his son, strong PL performance in concurrent gubernatorial races, and alignment with local agricultural and evangelical voter priorities. Trader consensus at 97.8% for Flávio reflects these consistent state-level trends. Potential shifts could arise from late undecided voter movement (around 20% in some polls), unexpected consolidation among fragmented right-leaning options, or turnout variations, though current evidence shows limited momentum for challengers in the state.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Volume
$9,628End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Roraima presidential polling for the October 4 first round, with recent surveys showing him at 52-62% support against Lula's 17-18% and single-digit or lower shares for other names. This edge stems from sustained regional backing for the Liberal Party (PL) and Bolsonarismo in the northern Amazon state, reinforced by Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement of his son, strong PL performance in concurrent gubernatorial races, and alignment with local agricultural and evangelical voter priorities. Trader consensus at 97.8% for Flávio reflects these consistent state-level trends. Potential shifts could arise from late undecided voter movement (around 20% in some polls), unexpected consolidation among fragmented right-leaning options, or turnout variations, though current evidence shows limited momentum for challengers in the state.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,628End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Roraima presidential polling for the October 4 first round, with recent surveys showing him at 52-62% support against Lula's 17-18% and single-digit or lower shares for other names. This edge stems from sustained regional backing for the Liberal Party (PL) and Bolsonarismo in the northern Amazon state, reinforced by Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement of his son, strong PL performance in concurrent gubernatorial races, and alignment with local agricultural and evangelical voter priorities. Trader consensus at 97.8% for Flávio reflects these consistent state-level trends. Potential shifts could arise from late undecided voter movement (around 20% in some polls), unexpected consolidation among fragmented right-leaning options, or turnout variations, though current evidence shows limited momentum for challengers in the state.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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