Incumbent Democratic Representative Katherine Clark secured her party's nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote against two challengers, positioning her for the November 3 general election in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by all major forecasters. The seat's D+24 partisan voter index, rooted in eastern Massachusetts suburbs and Cambridge voting patterns, combined with the absence of a viable Republican primary candidate and limited opposition infrastructure, underpins trader consensus near 97 percent for a Democratic hold. Clark's role as House minority whip further reinforces incumbency advantages in this reliably blue district. Potential shifts remain limited to an unexpected withdrawal or late developments capable of overcoming the structural Democratic margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$37,291 Vol.
$37,291 Vol.
2026/11/02
キャサリン・クラーク（民主党）
97%
共和党
2%
$37,291 Vol.
$37,291 Vol.
2026/11/02
キャサリン・クラーク（民主党）
$26,780 Vol.
97%
共和党
$10,511 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Katherine Clark secured her party's nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote against two challengers, positioning her for the November 3 general election in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by all major forecasters. The seat's D+24 partisan voter index, rooted in eastern Massachusetts suburbs and Cambridge voting patterns, combined with the absence of a viable Republican primary candidate and limited opposition infrastructure, underpins trader consensus near 97 percent for a Democratic hold. Clark's role as House minority whip further reinforces incumbency advantages in this reliably blue district. Potential shifts remain limited to an unexpected withdrawal or late developments capable of overcoming the structural Democratic margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$37,291終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Katherine Clark secured her party's nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote against two challengers, positioning her for the November 3 general election in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by all major forecasters. The seat's D+24 partisan voter index, rooted in eastern Massachusetts suburbs and Cambridge voting patterns, combined with the absence of a viable Republican primary candidate and limited opposition infrastructure, underpins trader consensus near 97 percent for a Democratic hold. Clark's role as House minority whip further reinforces incumbency advantages in this reliably blue district. Potential shifts remain limited to an unexpected withdrawal or late developments capable of overcoming the structural Democratic margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$37,291終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Katherine Clark secured her party's nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote against two challengers, positioning her for the November 3 general election in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by all major forecasters. The seat's D+24 partisan voter index, rooted in eastern Massachusetts suburbs and Cambridge voting patterns, combined with the absence of a viable Republican primary candidate and limited opposition infrastructure, underpins trader consensus near 97 percent for a Democratic hold. Clark's role as House minority whip further reinforces incumbency advantages in this reliably blue district. Potential shifts remain limited to an unexpected withdrawal or late developments capable of overcoming the structural Democratic margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問