Incumbent Jim McGovern's long tenure representing Massachusetts' 2nd congressional district, combined with its strong Democratic lean and the absence of any Republican candidate on the November 2026 general election ballot, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. McGovern secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with near-unanimous support, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and multiple forecaster ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Fundraising and endorsements have further reinforced his position ahead of the general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or an unexpected late Republican filing, though none appear imminent based on available filings and campaign activity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$63,456 Vol.
$63,456 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジム・マクガバン（民主党）
95%
共和党
5%
$63,456 Vol.
$63,456 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジム・マクガバン（民主党）
$35,228 Vol.
95%
共和党
$28,228 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim McGovern's long tenure representing Massachusetts' 2nd congressional district, combined with its strong Democratic lean and the absence of any Republican candidate on the November 2026 general election ballot, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. McGovern secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with near-unanimous support, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and multiple forecaster ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Fundraising and endorsements have further reinforced his position ahead of the general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or an unexpected late Republican filing, though none appear imminent based on available filings and campaign activity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$63,456終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim McGovern's long tenure representing Massachusetts' 2nd congressional district, combined with its strong Democratic lean and the absence of any Republican candidate on the November 2026 general election ballot, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. McGovern secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with near-unanimous support, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and multiple forecaster ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Fundraising and endorsements have further reinforced his position ahead of the general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or an unexpected late Republican filing, though none appear imminent based on available filings and campaign activity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$63,456終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jim McGovern's long tenure representing Massachusetts' 2nd congressional district, combined with its strong Democratic lean and the absence of any Republican candidate on the November 2026 general election ballot, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. McGovern secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with near-unanimous support, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and multiple forecaster ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Fundraising and endorsements have further reinforced his position ahead of the general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or an unexpected late Republican filing, though none appear imminent based on available filings and campaign activity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問