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icon for Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place

Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place

Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place

Delegado André David 41%

André Moura 29.0%

Rogerio Carvalho 27.9%

Delegado Alessandro 3.4%

Polymarket

$33,093 Vol.

Delegado André David 41%

André Moura 29.0%

Rogerio Carvalho 27.9%

Delegado Alessandro 3.4%

Polymarket

$33,093 Vol.

icon for Delegado André David

Delegado André David

$17,968 Vol.

41%

icon for André Moura

André Moura

$6,607 Vol.

21%

icon for Rogerio Carvalho

Rogerio Carvalho

$3,706 Vol.

28%

icon for Delegado Alessandro

Delegado Alessandro

$730 Vol.

3%

icon for Rodrigo Valadares

Rodrigo Valadares

$560 Vol.

3%

icon for Eduardo Amorim

Eduardo Amorim

$1,439 Vol.

1%

icon for Iran Barbosa

Iran Barbosa

$461 Vol.

1%

icon for Paulinho da União Tur

Paulinho da União Tur

$324 Vol.

1%

icon for Edvaldo

Edvaldo

$409 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coronel Rocha

Coronel Rocha

$435 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renatinha

Renatinha

$455 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for first place in Sergipe's Senate election stems from a crowded field of registered candidates, including Delegado André David (Republicanos), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), André Moura (União), Rogério Carvalho (PT), and Delegado Alessandro (MDB), where recent polls show them clustered within a few points amid high undecided and blank vote shares. Voter choice of two senators under the state's rules, combined with shifting coalitions and limited late-campaign differentiation, sustains the balance reflected in market pricing. Final-week polling releases, candidate forums, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could separate the leaders before the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,093
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for first place in Sergipe's Senate election stems from a crowded field of registered candidates, including Delegado André David (Republicanos), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), André Moura (União), Rogério Carvalho (PT), and Delegado Alessandro (MDB), where recent polls show them clustered within a few points amid high undecided and blank vote shares. Voter choice of two senators under the state's rules, combined with shifting coalitions and limited late-campaign differentiation, sustains the balance reflected in market pricing. Final-week polling releases, candidate forums, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could separate the leaders before the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,093
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Delegado André David" at 41%, followed by "Rogerio Carvalho" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place" has generated $33.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place" is "Delegado André David" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rogerio Carvalho" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.