**The Sergipe Senate race for the second seat remains tightly contested heading into the October 4 election, with recent polls showing technical ties among leading contenders and persistently high undecided shares.** Multiple surveys from institutes including INOR, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest in late August and early September placed Delegado André David at or near the top in first- and second-vote scenarios, often followed closely by André Moura, Rogério Carvalho, and Eduardo Amorim, each in the 9-16% range amid 18-79% undecided or blank responses. The dual-vote system and fragmented field have kept second-place probabilities compressed, aligning with current market pricing that assigns André David the highest share at 30.6%, followed by Moura at 26.5% and Carvalho at 23.5%. Limited late-campaign movement and the absence of decisive shifts in voter preference have sustained this equilibrium among the top names.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDelegado André David 29.3%
André Moura 27%
Rogerio Carvalho 24%
Eduardo Amorim 13%
$29,349 Vol.
$29,349 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado André David
29%
André Moura
27%
Rogerio Carvalho
24%
Eduardo Amorim
13%
Rodrigo Valadares
2%
Edvaldo
1%
Delegado Alessandro
1%
Paulinho da União Tur
<1%
Renatinha
<1%
Coronel Rocha
<1%
Iran Barbosa
<1%
Delegado André David 29.3%
André Moura 27%
Rogerio Carvalho 24%
Eduardo Amorim 13%
$29,349 Vol.
$29,349 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado André David
$3,682 Vol.
29%
André Moura
$5,266 Vol.
27%
Rogerio Carvalho
$7,450 Vol.
24%
Eduardo Amorim
$3,102 Vol.
13%
Rodrigo Valadares
$1,732 Vol.
2%
Edvaldo
$1,291 Vol.
1%
Delegado Alessandro
$2,095 Vol.
1%
Paulinho da União Tur
$1,109 Vol.
<1%
Renatinha
$1,435 Vol.
<1%
Coronel Rocha
$776 Vol.
<1%
Iran Barbosa
$1,411 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The Sergipe Senate race for the second seat remains tightly contested heading into the October 4 election, with recent polls showing technical ties among leading contenders and persistently high undecided shares.** Multiple surveys from institutes including INOR, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest in late August and early September placed Delegado André David at or near the top in first- and second-vote scenarios, often followed closely by André Moura, Rogério Carvalho, and Eduardo Amorim, each in the 9-16% range amid 18-79% undecided or blank responses. The dual-vote system and fragmented field have kept second-place probabilities compressed, aligning with current market pricing that assigns André David the highest share at 30.6%, followed by Moura at 26.5% and Carvalho at 23.5%. Limited late-campaign movement and the absence of decisive shifts in voter preference have sustained this equilibrium among the top names.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Volume
$29,349End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The Sergipe Senate race for the second seat remains tightly contested heading into the October 4 election, with recent polls showing technical ties among leading contenders and persistently high undecided shares.** Multiple surveys from institutes including INOR, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest in late August and early September placed Delegado André David at or near the top in first- and second-vote scenarios, often followed closely by André Moura, Rogério Carvalho, and Eduardo Amorim, each in the 9-16% range amid 18-79% undecided or blank responses. The dual-vote system and fragmented field have kept second-place probabilities compressed, aligning with current market pricing that assigns André David the highest share at 30.6%, followed by Moura at 26.5% and Carvalho at 23.5%. Limited late-campaign movement and the absence of decisive shifts in voter preference have sustained this equilibrium among the top names.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$29,349End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The Sergipe Senate race for the second seat remains tightly contested heading into the October 4 election, with recent polls showing technical ties among leading contenders and persistently high undecided shares.** Multiple surveys from institutes including INOR, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest in late August and early September placed Delegado André David at or near the top in first- and second-vote scenarios, often followed closely by André Moura, Rogério Carvalho, and Eduardo Amorim, each in the 9-16% range amid 18-79% undecided or blank responses. The dual-vote system and fragmented field have kept second-place probabilities compressed, aligning with current market pricing that assigns André David the highest share at 30.6%, followed by Moura at 26.5% and Carvalho at 23.5%. Limited late-campaign movement and the absence of decisive shifts in voter preference have sustained this equilibrium among the top names.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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