**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads the market for second place in Pará’s Senate race at 64%, ahead of a fragmented field including Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 23.5% and lower probabilities for Celso Sabino, Chicão, and others.** Recent polling from early September shows Helder Barbalho (MDB), the former governor, dominating first-preference votes at 36–45% while the contest for the second Senate seat remains competitive. Éder Mauro consistently ranks second overall in consolidated first-and-second-vote scenarios, benefiting from party infrastructure and name recognition as a federal deputy. Zequinha Marinho, the incumbent seeking re-election, and other contenders trail in most surveys, with second-vote preferences more dispersed. The October 4 election, in which voters select two senators, continues to shape trader assessments of the second-place outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDelegado Éder Mauro 64%
Zequinha Marinho 24%
Celso Sabino 8%
Helder 5.1%
$24,607 Vol.
$24,607 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
64%
Zequinha Marinho
24%
Celso Sabino
8%
Helder
5%
Edlaine Rodrigues
4%
Chicão
2%
Breno Guimarães
2%
Conti
2%
Fernanda Lopes
1%
Gizelle Freitas
1%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Delegado Éder Mauro 64%
Zequinha Marinho 24%
Celso Sabino 8%
Helder 5.1%
$24,607 Vol.
$24,607 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
$13,545 Vol.
64%
Zequinha Marinho
$7,075 Vol.
24%
Celso Sabino
$480 Vol.
8%
Helder
$1,525 Vol.
5%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$551 Vol.
4%
Chicão
$235 Vol.
2%
Breno Guimarães
$240 Vol.
2%
Conti
$272 Vol.
2%
Fernanda Lopes
$208 Vol.
1%
Gizelle Freitas
$266 Vol.
1%
Willem da Silva
$211 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads the market for second place in Pará’s Senate race at 64%, ahead of a fragmented field including Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 23.5% and lower probabilities for Celso Sabino, Chicão, and others.**
Recent polling from early September shows Helder Barbalho (MDB), the former governor, dominating first-preference votes at 36–45% while the contest for the second Senate seat remains competitive. Éder Mauro consistently ranks second overall in consolidated first-and-second-vote scenarios, benefiting from party infrastructure and name recognition as a federal deputy. Zequinha Marinho, the incumbent seeking re-election, and other contenders trail in most surveys, with second-vote preferences more dispersed. The October 4 election, in which voters select two senators, continues to shape trader assessments of the second-place outcome.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Volume
$24,607End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads the market for second place in Pará’s Senate race at 64%, ahead of a fragmented field including Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 23.5% and lower probabilities for Celso Sabino, Chicão, and others.**
Recent polling from early September shows Helder Barbalho (MDB), the former governor, dominating first-preference votes at 36–45% while the contest for the second Senate seat remains competitive. Éder Mauro consistently ranks second overall in consolidated first-and-second-vote scenarios, benefiting from party infrastructure and name recognition as a federal deputy. Zequinha Marinho, the incumbent seeking re-election, and other contenders trail in most surveys, with second-vote preferences more dispersed. The October 4 election, in which voters select two senators, continues to shape trader assessments of the second-place outcome.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$24,607End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads the market for second place in Pará’s Senate race at 64%, ahead of a fragmented field including Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 23.5% and lower probabilities for Celso Sabino, Chicão, and others.** Recent polling from early September shows Helder Barbalho (MDB), the former governor, dominating first-preference votes at 36–45% while the contest for the second Senate seat remains competitive. Éder Mauro consistently ranks second overall in consolidated first-and-second-vote scenarios, benefiting from party infrastructure and name recognition as a federal deputy. Zequinha Marinho, the incumbent seeking re-election, and other contenders trail in most surveys, with second-vote preferences more dispersed. The October 4 election, in which voters select two senators, continues to shape trader assessments of the second-place outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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