Incumbent Republican Tony Wied holds a commanding lead in the WI-08 race due to the district’s consistent R+8 partisan lean, his 2024 victory margin, and unanimous forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Wied advanced unopposed in the August primary and maintains strong institutional support in the northeastern Wisconsin district covering Green Bay and Appleton. Democrat Rick Crosson, a retired Army officer and former local school board member, emerged from a fragmented three-way primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the margin before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,226 Vol.
$21,226 Vol.
2026/11/02
トニー・ウィード（共和党）
92%
リック・クロッソン（民主党）
9%
$21,226 Vol.
$21,226 Vol.
2026/11/02
トニー・ウィード（共和党）
$14,017 Vol.
92%
リック・クロッソン（民主党）
$7,209 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tony Wied holds a commanding lead in the WI-08 race due to the district’s consistent R+8 partisan lean, his 2024 victory margin, and unanimous forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Wied advanced unopposed in the August primary and maintains strong institutional support in the northeastern Wisconsin district covering Green Bay and Appleton. Democrat Rick Crosson, a retired Army officer and former local school board member, emerged from a fragmented three-way primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$21,226終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tony Wied holds a commanding lead in the WI-08 race due to the district’s consistent R+8 partisan lean, his 2024 victory margin, and unanimous forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Wied advanced unopposed in the August primary and maintains strong institutional support in the northeastern Wisconsin district covering Green Bay and Appleton. Democrat Rick Crosson, a retired Army officer and former local school board member, emerged from a fragmented three-way primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,226終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tony Wied holds a commanding lead in the WI-08 race due to the district’s consistent R+8 partisan lean, his 2024 victory margin, and unanimous forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Wied advanced unopposed in the August primary and maintains strong institutional support in the northeastern Wisconsin district covering Green Bay and Appleton. Democrat Rick Crosson, a retired Army officer and former local school board member, emerged from a fragmented three-way primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the margin before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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