Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York's 10th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary by defeating incumbent Representative Dan Goldman with roughly two-thirds of the vote, consolidating support from progressive voters and key endorsements including from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani. The district, encompassing Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in recent cycles, positioning Lander—who also holds the Working Families Party line—as the prohibitive favorite against Republican nominee Jennifer Moore in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's partisan baseline and Lander's primary performance. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include late-breaking scandals, significant health developments, or unexpected national political shifts that boost Republican turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$53,925 Vol.
$53,925 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブラッド・ランダー（民主党）
98%
ジェニファー・ムーア（共和党）
<1%
$53,925 Vol.
$53,925 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブラッド・ランダー（民主党）
$16,749 Vol.
98%
ジェニファー・ムーア（共和党）
$37,175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York's 10th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary by defeating incumbent Representative Dan Goldman with roughly two-thirds of the vote, consolidating support from progressive voters and key endorsements including from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani. The district, encompassing Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in recent cycles, positioning Lander—who also holds the Working Families Party line—as the prohibitive favorite against Republican nominee Jennifer Moore in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's partisan baseline and Lander's primary performance. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include late-breaking scandals, significant health developments, or unexpected national political shifts that boost Republican turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$53,925終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York's 10th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary by defeating incumbent Representative Dan Goldman with roughly two-thirds of the vote, consolidating support from progressive voters and key endorsements including from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani. The district, encompassing Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in recent cycles, positioning Lander—who also holds the Working Families Party line—as the prohibitive favorite against Republican nominee Jennifer Moore in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's partisan baseline and Lander's primary performance. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include late-breaking scandals, significant health developments, or unexpected national political shifts that boost Republican turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$53,925終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York's 10th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary by defeating incumbent Representative Dan Goldman with roughly two-thirds of the vote, consolidating support from progressive voters and key endorsements including from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani. The district, encompassing Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in recent cycles, positioning Lander—who also holds the Working Families Party line—as the prohibitive favorite against Republican nominee Jennifer Moore in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's partisan baseline and Lander's primary performance. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include late-breaking scandals, significant health developments, or unexpected national political shifts that boost Republican turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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