Recent polling in Rondônia shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading Senate vote intentions with 17-20% support in combined first- and second-choice scenarios, ahead of Sílvia Cristina (PP) and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) who sit in the low-to-mid teens, consistent with current market pricing for first-place finish. High undecided shares of 20-39% across August and early September surveys, along with ten candidates competing for two seats under Brazil's rules, keep the contest fluid. Voter preferences for the second vacancy remain particularly open, with several names technically tied within margins of error, limiting separation among frontrunners as the October 4 first round approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Dr. Fernando Máximo 55%
Sílvia Cristina 38%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 6.0%
Mariana Carvalho 1.9%
$37,841 Vol.
$37,841 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Fernando Máximo
55%
Sílvia Cristina
38%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
6%
Mariana Carvalho
2%
Luis Fernando
1%
Luciana Oliveira
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
<1%
Aires Mota
<1%
Neidinha
<1%
Acir Gurgacz
<1%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 55%
Sílvia Cristina 38%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 6.0%
Mariana Carvalho 1.9%
$37,841 Vol.
$37,841 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$16,261 Vol.
55%
Sílvia Cristina
$16,794 Vol.
38%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$726 Vol.
6%
Mariana Carvalho
$528 Vol.
2%
Luis Fernando
$485 Vol.
1%
Luciana Oliveira
$598 Vol.
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
$578 Vol.
<1%
Aires Mota
$569 Vol.
<1%
Neidinha
$762 Vol.
<1%
Acir Gurgacz
$540 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rondônia shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading Senate vote intentions with 17-20% support in combined first- and second-choice scenarios, ahead of Sílvia Cristina (PP) and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) who sit in the low-to-mid teens, consistent with current market pricing for first-place finish. High undecided shares of 20-39% across August and early September surveys, along with ten candidates competing for two seats under Brazil's rules, keep the contest fluid. Voter preferences for the second vacancy remain particularly open, with several names technically tied within margins of error, limiting separation among frontrunners as the October 4 first round approaches.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$37,841End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rondônia shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading Senate vote intentions with 17-20% support in combined first- and second-choice scenarios, ahead of Sílvia Cristina (PP) and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) who sit in the low-to-mid teens, consistent with current market pricing for first-place finish. High undecided shares of 20-39% across August and early September surveys, along with ten candidates competing for two seats under Brazil's rules, keep the contest fluid. Voter preferences for the second vacancy remain particularly open, with several names technically tied within margins of error, limiting separation among frontrunners as the October 4 first round approaches.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$37,841End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Rondônia shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading Senate vote intentions with 17-20% support in combined first- and second-choice scenarios, ahead of Sílvia Cristina (PP) and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) who sit in the low-to-mid teens, consistent with current market pricing for first-place finish. High undecided shares of 20-39% across August and early September surveys, along with ten candidates competing for two seats under Brazil's rules, keep the contest fluid. Voter preferences for the second vacancy remain particularly open, with several names technically tied within margins of error, limiting separation among frontrunners as the October 4 first round approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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