**In the Acre Senate race for first place on October 4, 2026, traders see a tight contest among Márcio Bittar (PL), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Gladson Cameli (PP), with recent polls showing the top three within a few points amid high undecided shares.** Bittar, an incumbent seeking re-election, and Cameli, who resigned as governor to run, benefit from strong name recognition and party structures, while Rocha draws support from her prior federal deputy role and coalition backing. Jorge Viana (PT) trails but remains competitive through established left-leaning networks. Legal proceedings around Cameli’s candidacy have introduced uncertainty, contributing to his lower implied probability. The fragmented field, dual-vote mechanics for two seats, and limited recent polling shifts sustain balanced odds, with further separation likely depending on final candidate approvals, coalition mobilization, and late-campaign turnout patterns among the state’s roughly 614,000 voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarcio Bittar 33%
Mara Rocha 28.1%
Gladson Camelí 17.2%
Jorge Viana 6.4%
$37,642 Vol.
$37,642 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
33%
Mara Rocha
28%
Gladson Camelí
17%
Jorge Viana
6%
Petecão
<1%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
<1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
<1%
Marcio Bittar 33%
Mara Rocha 28.1%
Gladson Camelí 17.2%
Jorge Viana 6.4%
$37,642 Vol.
$37,642 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
$14,496 Vol.
33%
Mara Rocha
$6,216 Vol.
28%
Gladson Camelí
$10,842 Vol.
17%
Jorge Viana
$2,623 Vol.
6%
Petecão
$1,279 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
$663 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
$767 Vol.
<1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
$756 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**In the Acre Senate race for first place on October 4, 2026, traders see a tight contest among Márcio Bittar (PL), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Gladson Cameli (PP), with recent polls showing the top three within a few points amid high undecided shares.** Bittar, an incumbent seeking re-election, and Cameli, who resigned as governor to run, benefit from strong name recognition and party structures, while Rocha draws support from her prior federal deputy role and coalition backing. Jorge Viana (PT) trails but remains competitive through established left-leaning networks. Legal proceedings around Cameli’s candidacy have introduced uncertainty, contributing to his lower implied probability. The fragmented field, dual-vote mechanics for two seats, and limited recent polling shifts sustain balanced odds, with further separation likely depending on final candidate approvals, coalition mobilization, and late-campaign turnout patterns among the state’s roughly 614,000 voters.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
Volume
$37,642End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**In the Acre Senate race for first place on October 4, 2026, traders see a tight contest among Márcio Bittar (PL), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Gladson Cameli (PP), with recent polls showing the top three within a few points amid high undecided shares.** Bittar, an incumbent seeking re-election, and Cameli, who resigned as governor to run, benefit from strong name recognition and party structures, while Rocha draws support from her prior federal deputy role and coalition backing. Jorge Viana (PT) trails but remains competitive through established left-leaning networks. Legal proceedings around Cameli’s candidacy have introduced uncertainty, contributing to his lower implied probability. The fragmented field, dual-vote mechanics for two seats, and limited recent polling shifts sustain balanced odds, with further separation likely depending on final candidate approvals, coalition mobilization, and late-campaign turnout patterns among the state’s roughly 614,000 voters.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$37,642End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**In the Acre Senate race for first place on October 4, 2026, traders see a tight contest among Márcio Bittar (PL), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Gladson Cameli (PP), with recent polls showing the top three within a few points amid high undecided shares.** Bittar, an incumbent seeking re-election, and Cameli, who resigned as governor to run, benefit from strong name recognition and party structures, while Rocha draws support from her prior federal deputy role and coalition backing. Jorge Viana (PT) trails but remains competitive through established left-leaning networks. Legal proceedings around Cameli’s candidacy have introduced uncertainty, contributing to his lower implied probability. The fragmented field, dual-vote mechanics for two seats, and limited recent polling shifts sustain balanced odds, with further separation likely depending on final candidate approvals, coalition mobilization, and late-campaign turnout patterns among the state’s roughly 614,000 voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions