**Helder Barbalho (MDB), the term-limited former governor of Pará, holds a commanding position in the race for first place in the October 4, 2026, Senate election, backed by a broad coalition and consistently strong polling leads.** Recent surveys, including a Real Time Big Data poll from early September showing him at 36% in consolidated votes and earlier Quaest data with him at 23-38% for the top spot, underscore his advantage in name recognition and organizational support ahead of rivals. Incumbent Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) and federal deputy Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) trail significantly in first-place projections, while the second Senate seat remains more contested among several candidates. The single-round vote for two seats and Helder’s established statewide profile have shaped trader assessments of the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHelder 81%
Delegado Éder Mauro 7.5%
Zequinha Marinho 7.0%
Edlaine Rodrigues 1.8%
$17,107 Vol.
$17,107 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
81%
Delegado Éder Mauro
8%
Zequinha Marinho
9%
Edlaine Rodrigues
2%
Breno Guimarães
1%
Fernanda Lopes
1%
Celso Sabino
1%
Conti
<1%
Chicão
<1%
Gizelle Freitas
<1%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Helder 81%
Delegado Éder Mauro 7.5%
Zequinha Marinho 7.0%
Edlaine Rodrigues 1.8%
$17,107 Vol.
$17,107 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
$11,514 Vol.
81%
Delegado Éder Mauro
$635 Vol.
8%
Zequinha Marinho
$569 Vol.
9%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$600 Vol.
2%
Breno Guimarães
$529 Vol.
1%
Fernanda Lopes
$726 Vol.
1%
Celso Sabino
$499 Vol.
1%
Conti
$551 Vol.
<1%
Chicão
$488 Vol.
<1%
Gizelle Freitas
$562 Vol.
<1%
Willem da Silva
$436 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Helder Barbalho (MDB), the term-limited former governor of Pará, holds a commanding position in the race for first place in the October 4, 2026, Senate election, backed by a broad coalition and consistently strong polling leads.** Recent surveys, including a Real Time Big Data poll from early September showing him at 36% in consolidated votes and earlier Quaest data with him at 23-38% for the top spot, underscore his advantage in name recognition and organizational support ahead of rivals. Incumbent Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) and federal deputy Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) trail significantly in first-place projections, while the second Senate seat remains more contested among several candidates. The single-round vote for two seats and Helder’s established statewide profile have shaped trader assessments of the outcome.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$17,107End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Helder Barbalho (MDB), the term-limited former governor of Pará, holds a commanding position in the race for first place in the October 4, 2026, Senate election, backed by a broad coalition and consistently strong polling leads.** Recent surveys, including a Real Time Big Data poll from early September showing him at 36% in consolidated votes and earlier Quaest data with him at 23-38% for the top spot, underscore his advantage in name recognition and organizational support ahead of rivals. Incumbent Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) and federal deputy Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) trail significantly in first-place projections, while the second Senate seat remains more contested among several candidates. The single-round vote for two seats and Helder’s established statewide profile have shaped trader assessments of the outcome.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,107End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Helder Barbalho (MDB), the term-limited former governor of Pará, holds a commanding position in the race for first place in the October 4, 2026, Senate election, backed by a broad coalition and consistently strong polling leads.** Recent surveys, including a Real Time Big Data poll from early September showing him at 36% in consolidated votes and earlier Quaest data with him at 23-38% for the top spot, underscore his advantage in name recognition and organizational support ahead of rivals. Incumbent Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) and federal deputy Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) trail significantly in first-place projections, while the second Senate seat remains more contested among several candidates. The single-round vote for two seats and Helder’s established statewide profile have shaped trader assessments of the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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