Eduardo Braga holds a commanding lead in the Amazonas Senate race for first place, backed by multiple late-August and early-September polls showing him at 25-50% in stimulated scenarios for the two seats up for election on October 4. His incumbency, prior governorship, and broad support across Manaus and the interior underpin the market's 82.5% pricing, reflecting trader assessments of his path to topping the ballot. Capitão Alberto Neto trails at around 16-24% in recent surveys, drawing strength mainly from the capital, while Wilson Lima, Plínio Valério, and lower-polling names like Professora Evany face higher rejection or limited name recognition. The closely watched first-vote breakdowns consistently place Braga well ahead, with no major campaign shifts reported in the final weeks to alter the positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEduardo Braga 83%
Capitão Alberto Neto 11.5%
Wilson Lima 2.5%
Plinio Valério 1.8%
$37,564 Vol.
$37,564 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braga
83%
Capitão Alberto Neto
12%
Wilson Lima
3%
Plinio Valério
2%
Dailson Corrêa
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
<1%
Professora Evany
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%
Eduardo Braga 83%
Capitão Alberto Neto 11.5%
Wilson Lima 2.5%
Plinio Valério 1.8%
$37,564 Vol.
$37,564 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braga
$20,019 Vol.
83%
Capitão Alberto Neto
$6,663 Vol.
12%
Wilson Lima
$3,513 Vol.
3%
Plinio Valério
$3,517 Vol.
2%
Dailson Corrêa
$600 Vol.
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
$563 Vol.
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
$915 Vol.
<1%
Professora Evany
$858 Vol.
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$916 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga holds a commanding lead in the Amazonas Senate race for first place, backed by multiple late-August and early-September polls showing him at 25-50% in stimulated scenarios for the two seats up for election on October 4. His incumbency, prior governorship, and broad support across Manaus and the interior underpin the market's 82.5% pricing, reflecting trader assessments of his path to topping the ballot. Capitão Alberto Neto trails at around 16-24% in recent surveys, drawing strength mainly from the capital, while Wilson Lima, Plínio Valério, and lower-polling names like Professora Evany face higher rejection or limited name recognition. The closely watched first-vote breakdowns consistently place Braga well ahead, with no major campaign shifts reported in the final weeks to alter the positioning.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET
Volume
$37,564End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga holds a commanding lead in the Amazonas Senate race for first place, backed by multiple late-August and early-September polls showing him at 25-50% in stimulated scenarios for the two seats up for election on October 4. His incumbency, prior governorship, and broad support across Manaus and the interior underpin the market's 82.5% pricing, reflecting trader assessments of his path to topping the ballot. Capitão Alberto Neto trails at around 16-24% in recent surveys, drawing strength mainly from the capital, while Wilson Lima, Plínio Valério, and lower-polling names like Professora Evany face higher rejection or limited name recognition. The closely watched first-vote breakdowns consistently place Braga well ahead, with no major campaign shifts reported in the final weeks to alter the positioning.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$37,564End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braga holds a commanding lead in the Amazonas Senate race for first place, backed by multiple late-August and early-September polls showing him at 25-50% in stimulated scenarios for the two seats up for election on October 4. His incumbency, prior governorship, and broad support across Manaus and the interior underpin the market's 82.5% pricing, reflecting trader assessments of his path to topping the ballot. Capitão Alberto Neto trails at around 16-24% in recent surveys, drawing strength mainly from the capital, while Wilson Lima, Plínio Valério, and lower-polling names like Professora Evany face higher rejection or limited name recognition. The closely watched first-vote breakdowns consistently place Braga well ahead, with no major campaign shifts reported in the final weeks to alter the positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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