Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading the Espírito Santo Senate race with 28% while Sergio Meneguelli (PSD) sits at 12% and four candidates—Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), and Evair de Melo (Republicanos)—tie at 9% each within the margin of error. This fragmentation for second place stems from voters selecting two names, elevated undecided and blank shares, and comparable name recognition among the pack without decisive late momentum shifts or major endorsements. Trader consensus prices reflect the resulting equilibrium, where small polling movements, coalition signals, or October debates could still reorder the contenders before the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSergio Meneguelli 37%
Fabiano Contarato 25.9%
Rose de Freitas 25.4%
Maguinha Malta 13.0%
$38,114 Vol.
$38,114 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Meneguelli
37%
Fabiano Contarato
26%
Rose de Freitas
25%
Maguinha Malta
13%
Renato Casagrande
4%
Evair de Melo
<1%
Marcos do Val
<1%
Callegari
<1%
Leonardo Monjardim
<1%
Rodney Miranda
<1%
Professor Fabian
<1%
Sergio Meneguelli 37%
Fabiano Contarato 25.9%
Rose de Freitas 25.4%
Maguinha Malta 13.0%
$38,114 Vol.
$38,114 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Meneguelli
$20,841 Vol.
37%
Fabiano Contarato
$6,935 Vol.
26%
Rose de Freitas
$4,459 Vol.
25%
Maguinha Malta
$1,188 Vol.
13%
Renato Casagrande
$971 Vol.
4%
Evair de Melo
$1,026 Vol.
<1%
Marcos do Val
$527 Vol.
<1%
Callegari
$731 Vol.
<1%
Leonardo Monjardim
$599 Vol.
<1%
Rodney Miranda
$414 Vol.
<1%
Professor Fabian
$422 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading the Espírito Santo Senate race with 28% while Sergio Meneguelli (PSD) sits at 12% and four candidates—Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), and Evair de Melo (Republicanos)—tie at 9% each within the margin of error. This fragmentation for second place stems from voters selecting two names, elevated undecided and blank shares, and comparable name recognition among the pack without decisive late momentum shifts or major endorsements. Trader consensus prices reflect the resulting equilibrium, where small polling movements, coalition signals, or October debates could still reorder the contenders before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Volume
$38,114End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading the Espírito Santo Senate race with 28% while Sergio Meneguelli (PSD) sits at 12% and four candidates—Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), and Evair de Melo (Republicanos)—tie at 9% each within the margin of error. This fragmentation for second place stems from voters selecting two names, elevated undecided and blank shares, and comparable name recognition among the pack without decisive late momentum shifts or major endorsements. Trader consensus prices reflect the resulting equilibrium, where small polling movements, coalition signals, or October debates could still reorder the contenders before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$38,114End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading the Espírito Santo Senate race with 28% while Sergio Meneguelli (PSD) sits at 12% and four candidates—Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), and Evair de Melo (Republicanos)—tie at 9% each within the margin of error. This fragmentation for second place stems from voters selecting two names, elevated undecided and blank shares, and comparable name recognition among the pack without decisive late momentum shifts or major endorsements. Trader consensus prices reflect the resulting equilibrium, where small polling movements, coalition signals, or October debates could still reorder the contenders before the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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