Polls for Bahia's October 2026 Senate election show Rui Costa (PT) consistently leading overall vote intentions, positioning the contest for second place primarily among Jaques Wagner (PT), Angelo Coronel (Republicanos), and João Roma (PL). Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data from early September and prior Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest releases, indicate Wagner often ranks highest or tied for second in consolidated and second-preference scenarios, though Roma and Coronel remain within margins of error in several estimates. The two-vote system, combined with elevated shares of undecided and blank/null voters, sustains tight pricing on the second spot. Further late-cycle polling shifts, opposition coordination, or turnout patterns among PT and non-PT blocs could widen or narrow separations ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJaques Wagner 46%
Rui Costa 18.8%
Angelo Coronel 16.5%
João Roma 12.4%
$34,891 Vol.
$34,891 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jaques Wagner
46%
Rui Costa
19%
Angelo Coronel
16%
João Roma
7%
Carlos Sodré
<1%
Gregorio Gould
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
<1%
Marcelo Millet
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
<1%
Professora Delliana
<1%
Jaques Wagner 46%
Rui Costa 18.8%
Angelo Coronel 16.5%
João Roma 12.4%
$34,891 Vol.
$34,891 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jaques Wagner
$23,338 Vol.
46%
Rui Costa
$4,840 Vol.
19%
Angelo Coronel
$1,641 Vol.
16%
João Roma
$1,255 Vol.
7%
Carlos Sodré
$681 Vol.
<1%
Gregorio Gould
$570 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
$488 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Millet
$673 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
$654 Vol.
<1%
Professora Delliana
$751 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Polls for Bahia's October 2026 Senate election show Rui Costa (PT) consistently leading overall vote intentions, positioning the contest for second place primarily among Jaques Wagner (PT), Angelo Coronel (Republicanos), and João Roma (PL). Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data from early September and prior Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest releases, indicate Wagner often ranks highest or tied for second in consolidated and second-preference scenarios, though Roma and Coronel remain within margins of error in several estimates. The two-vote system, combined with elevated shares of undecided and blank/null voters, sustains tight pricing on the second spot. Further late-cycle polling shifts, opposition coordination, or turnout patterns among PT and non-PT blocs could widen or narrow separations ahead of election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
Volume
$34,891End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Polls for Bahia's October 2026 Senate election show Rui Costa (PT) consistently leading overall vote intentions, positioning the contest for second place primarily among Jaques Wagner (PT), Angelo Coronel (Republicanos), and João Roma (PL). Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data from early September and prior Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest releases, indicate Wagner often ranks highest or tied for second in consolidated and second-preference scenarios, though Roma and Coronel remain within margins of error in several estimates. The two-vote system, combined with elevated shares of undecided and blank/null voters, sustains tight pricing on the second spot. Further late-cycle polling shifts, opposition coordination, or turnout patterns among PT and non-PT blocs could widen or narrow separations ahead of election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$34,891End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polls for Bahia's October 2026 Senate election show Rui Costa (PT) consistently leading overall vote intentions, positioning the contest for second place primarily among Jaques Wagner (PT), Angelo Coronel (Republicanos), and João Roma (PL). Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data from early September and prior Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest releases, indicate Wagner often ranks highest or tied for second in consolidated and second-preference scenarios, though Roma and Coronel remain within margins of error in several estimates. The two-vote system, combined with elevated shares of undecided and blank/null voters, sustains tight pricing on the second spot. Further late-cycle polling shifts, opposition coordination, or turnout patterns among PT and non-PT blocs could widen or narrow separations ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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