Arthur Lira (PP) holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for first place in Alagoas’s Senate contest, followed by Renan Calheiros (MDB) and Marina JHC (PSDB), with the three candidates clustered within a few points in recent polling. Each voter selects two names for the state’s two seats, which keeps the race competitive and rewards name recognition plus coalition reach across Maceió and the interior. Marina JHC entered late after her husband JHC shifted to the gubernatorial race, creating an alliance that preserved Lira’s positioning while adding a new contender with strong capital support but weaker statewide visibility. Upcoming October 4 voting and any final campaign momentum in undecided or interior segments remain the main variables that could reorder the finish.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArthur Lira 46%
Renan 27%
Marina JHC 21.5%
Alexandre Fleming 1.7%
$21,740 Vol.
$21,740 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Lira
46%
Renan
27%
Marina JHC
22%
Alexandre Fleming
2%
Dr. Wanderley
1%
Mariedson
<1%
Davi Davino Filho
<1%
Arthur Lira 46%
Renan 27%
Marina JHC 21.5%
Alexandre Fleming 1.7%
$21,740 Vol.
$21,740 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Lira
$11,336 Vol.
46%
Renan
$7,341 Vol.
27%
Marina JHC
$1,273 Vol.
22%
Alexandre Fleming
$453 Vol.
2%
Dr. Wanderley
$536 Vol.
1%
Mariedson
$408 Vol.
<1%
Davi Davino Filho
$393 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Lira (PP) holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for first place in Alagoas’s Senate contest, followed by Renan Calheiros (MDB) and Marina JHC (PSDB), with the three candidates clustered within a few points in recent polling. Each voter selects two names for the state’s two seats, which keeps the race competitive and rewards name recognition plus coalition reach across Maceió and the interior. Marina JHC entered late after her husband JHC shifted to the gubernatorial race, creating an alliance that preserved Lira’s positioning while adding a new contender with strong capital support but weaker statewide visibility. Upcoming October 4 voting and any final campaign momentum in undecided or interior segments remain the main variables that could reorder the finish.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
Volume
$21,740End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Lira (PP) holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for first place in Alagoas’s Senate contest, followed by Renan Calheiros (MDB) and Marina JHC (PSDB), with the three candidates clustered within a few points in recent polling. Each voter selects two names for the state’s two seats, which keeps the race competitive and rewards name recognition plus coalition reach across Maceió and the interior. Marina JHC entered late after her husband JHC shifted to the gubernatorial race, creating an alliance that preserved Lira’s positioning while adding a new contender with strong capital support but weaker statewide visibility. Upcoming October 4 voting and any final campaign momentum in undecided or interior segments remain the main variables that could reorder the finish.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$21,740End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Lira (PP) holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for first place in Alagoas’s Senate contest, followed by Renan Calheiros (MDB) and Marina JHC (PSDB), with the three candidates clustered within a few points in recent polling. Each voter selects two names for the state’s two seats, which keeps the race competitive and rewards name recognition plus coalition reach across Maceió and the interior. Marina JHC entered late after her husband JHC shifted to the gubernatorial race, creating an alliance that preserved Lira’s positioning while adding a new contender with strong capital support but weaker statewide visibility. Upcoming October 4 voting and any final campaign momentum in undecided or interior segments remain the main variables that could reorder the finish.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions