Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in Acre’s first-round presidential voting on October 4, reflecting sustained regional polling leads of roughly 20 points or more over the nearest competitors. Multiple state-level surveys from mid-2026 onward show the Liberal Party senator capturing 42-51% of intentions in the Amazonian state, supported by strong conservative voter alignment, high rejection rates for incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, and limited inroads by other registered candidates. National dynamics, including the Liberal Party convention and endorsements within Bolsonarismo, have reinforced this local advantage without notable erosion in recent months. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include sharp last-minute turnout shifts, unforeseen legal or health developments affecting major candidates, or a rapid national swing in voter sentiment that reaches Acre before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlavio Bolsonaro 97.9%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
98%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Lula
1%
Renan Santos
1%
Samara
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.9%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$5,032 Vol.
98%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$312 Vol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$312 Vol.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$374 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$332 Vol.
1%
Lula
$329 Vol.
1%
Renan Santos
$312 Vol.
1%
Samara
$439 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$369 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$367 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$376 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$401 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$407 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in Acre’s first-round presidential voting on October 4, reflecting sustained regional polling leads of roughly 20 points or more over the nearest competitors. Multiple state-level surveys from mid-2026 onward show the Liberal Party senator capturing 42-51% of intentions in the Amazonian state, supported by strong conservative voter alignment, high rejection rates for incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, and limited inroads by other registered candidates. National dynamics, including the Liberal Party convention and endorsements within Bolsonarismo, have reinforced this local advantage without notable erosion in recent months. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include sharp last-minute turnout shifts, unforeseen legal or health developments affecting major candidates, or a rapid national swing in voter sentiment that reaches Acre before ballots close.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Volume
$9,359End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in Acre’s first-round presidential voting on October 4, reflecting sustained regional polling leads of roughly 20 points or more over the nearest competitors. Multiple state-level surveys from mid-2026 onward show the Liberal Party senator capturing 42-51% of intentions in the Amazonian state, supported by strong conservative voter alignment, high rejection rates for incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, and limited inroads by other registered candidates. National dynamics, including the Liberal Party convention and endorsements within Bolsonarismo, have reinforced this local advantage without notable erosion in recent months. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include sharp last-minute turnout shifts, unforeseen legal or health developments affecting major candidates, or a rapid national swing in voter sentiment that reaches Acre before ballots close.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,359End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in Acre’s first-round presidential voting on October 4, reflecting sustained regional polling leads of roughly 20 points or more over the nearest competitors. Multiple state-level surveys from mid-2026 onward show the Liberal Party senator capturing 42-51% of intentions in the Amazonian state, supported by strong conservative voter alignment, high rejection rates for incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, and limited inroads by other registered candidates. National dynamics, including the Liberal Party convention and endorsements within Bolsonarismo, have reinforced this local advantage without notable erosion in recent months. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include sharp last-minute turnout shifts, unforeseen legal or health developments affecting major candidates, or a rapid national swing in voter sentiment that reaches Acre before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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