The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to around 4.80-4.85% in early September 2026, reaching its highest levels since late 2023 amid sticky inflation and shifting rate expectations. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have pushed oil above $100 per barrel, contributing to elevated energy prices and broader inflation concerns, with July CPI showing a 3.4% year-over-year increase and core at 2.5%. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75%, but markets now price in a material chance of a hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting following recent communications. Robust economic growth, AI-related capital spending, and rising real yields have also supported the move higher in benchmarks. The August CPI release on September 11 and the FOMC decision represent the key near-term catalysts that could influence further downside moves in yields.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
$18,863 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Below 4.76%
49%
Below 4.73%
33%
Below 4.70%
12%
Below 4.67%
10%
Below 4.64%
12%
Below 4.61%
4%
Below 4.56%
4%
Below 4.51%
6%
Below 4.45%
3%
$18,863 ปริมาณ
Below 4.76%
$7,559 ปริมาณ
49%
Below 4.73%
$1,124 ปริมาณ
33%
Below 4.70%
$3,141 ปริมาณ
12%
Below 4.67%
$220 ปริมาณ
10%
Below 4.64%
$1,638 ปริมาณ
12%
Below 4.61%
$2,030 ปริมาณ
4%
Below 4.56%
$763 ปริมาณ
4%
Below 4.51%
$436 ปริมาณ
6%
Below 4.45%
$1,953 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to around 4.80-4.85% in early September 2026, reaching its highest levels since late 2023 amid sticky inflation and shifting rate expectations. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have pushed oil above $100 per barrel, contributing to elevated energy prices and broader inflation concerns, with July CPI showing a 3.4% year-over-year increase and core at 2.5%. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75%, but markets now price in a material chance of a hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting following recent communications. Robust economic growth, AI-related capital spending, and rising real yields have also supported the move higher in benchmarks. The August CPI release on September 11 and the FOMC decision represent the key near-term catalysts that could influence further downside moves in yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,863วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to around 4.80-4.85% in early September 2026, reaching its highest levels since late 2023 amid sticky inflation and shifting rate expectations. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have pushed oil above $100 per barrel, contributing to elevated energy prices and broader inflation concerns, with July CPI showing a 3.4% year-over-year increase and core at 2.5%. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75%, but markets now price in a material chance of a hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting following recent communications. Robust economic growth, AI-related capital spending, and rising real yields have also supported the move higher in benchmarks. The August CPI release on September 11 and the FOMC decision represent the key near-term catalysts that could influence further downside moves in yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,863วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to around 4.80-4.85% in early September 2026, reaching its highest levels since late 2023 amid sticky inflation and shifting rate expectations. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have pushed oil above $100 per barrel, contributing to elevated energy prices and broader inflation concerns, with July CPI showing a 3.4% year-over-year increase and core at 2.5%. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75%, but markets now price in a material chance of a hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting following recent communications. Robust economic growth, AI-related capital spending, and rising real yields have also supported the move higher in benchmarks. The August CPI release on September 11 and the FOMC decision represent the key near-term catalysts that could influence further downside moves in yields.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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