Recent hotter-than-expected August CPI data showing 3.4% year-over-year inflation, alongside a resilient labor market with 162,000 August payroll gains, have pushed market-implied odds of at least one Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026 to 87.5% for Yes. Hawkish communications from Chair Kevin Warsh, including at Jackson Hole, have reinforced trader consensus that policy must tighten to address broadening price pressures from energy and shelter costs. The current federal funds target of 3.50-3.75% faces upward pressure ahead of the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where markets now price a near-certain 25-basis-point increase and additional moves later in the year. Updated dot plot projections from June already signaled nine officials favoring at least one 2026 hike.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
การปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
ใช่
88% โอกาส
$9,102,686 ปริมาณ
$9,102,686 ปริมาณ
Dec 8, 2026
ใช่
88% โอกาส
$9,102,686 ปริมาณ
$9,102,686 ปริมาณ
Dec 8, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected August CPI data showing 3.4% year-over-year inflation, alongside a resilient labor market with 162,000 August payroll gains, have pushed market-implied odds of at least one Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026 to 87.5% for Yes. Hawkish communications from Chair Kevin Warsh, including at Jackson Hole, have reinforced trader consensus that policy must tighten to address broadening price pressures from energy and shelter costs. The current federal funds target of 3.50-3.75% faces upward pressure ahead of the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where markets now price a near-certain 25-basis-point increase and additional moves later in the year. Updated dot plot projections from June already signaled nine officials favoring at least one 2026 hike.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,102,686วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected August CPI data showing 3.4% year-over-year inflation, alongside a resilient labor market with 162,000 August payroll gains, have pushed market-implied odds of at least one Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026 to 87.5% for Yes. Hawkish communications from Chair Kevin Warsh, including at Jackson Hole, have reinforced trader consensus that policy must tighten to address broadening price pressures from energy and shelter costs. The current federal funds target of 3.50-3.75% faces upward pressure ahead of the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where markets now price a near-certain 25-basis-point increase and additional moves later in the year. Updated dot plot projections from June already signaled nine officials favoring at least one 2026 hike.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,102,686วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected August CPI data showing 3.4% year-over-year inflation, alongside a resilient labor market with 162,000 August payroll gains, have pushed market-implied odds of at least one Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026 to 87.5% for Yes. Hawkish communications from Chair Kevin Warsh, including at Jackson Hole, have reinforced trader consensus that policy must tighten to address broadening price pressures from energy and shelter costs. The current federal funds target of 3.50-3.75% faces upward pressure ahead of the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where markets now price a near-certain 25-basis-point increase and additional moves later in the year. Updated dot plot projections from June already signaled nine officials favoring at least one 2026 hike.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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