The 5-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.63% as of September 10, 2026, driven primarily by persistent inflation pressures and a hawkish repricing of Federal Reserve policy expectations. Surging oil prices above $100 per barrel amid U.S.-Iran tensions have elevated energy costs and breakeven inflation measures, while upcoming August PPI and CPI releases are expected to show year-over-year gains near 5.4% and elevated core readings. Treasury buyback announcements have provided limited support, leaving term premiums elevated amid fiscal supply concerns and sticky services inflation. Markets now assign higher odds to a Fed pause or potential hike at the September FOMC, with the 5-year sector particularly sensitive to shifts in the expected policy path through year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
ใหม่
Sep 30, 2026
4.90%
14%
4.83%
20%
4.78%
29%
4.73%
38%
4.70%
48%
4.67%
56%
4.64%
70%
$8,824 ปริมาณ
4.90%
$535 ปริมาณ
14%
4.83%
$1,809 ปริมาณ
20%
4.78%
$1,165 ปริมาณ
29%
4.73%
$91 ปริมาณ
38%
4.70%
$881 ปริมาณ
48%
4.67%
$296 ปริมาณ
56%
4.64%
$1,260 ปริมาณ
70%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 5-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.63% as of September 10, 2026, driven primarily by persistent inflation pressures and a hawkish repricing of Federal Reserve policy expectations. Surging oil prices above $100 per barrel amid U.S.-Iran tensions have elevated energy costs and breakeven inflation measures, while upcoming August PPI and CPI releases are expected to show year-over-year gains near 5.4% and elevated core readings. Treasury buyback announcements have provided limited support, leaving term premiums elevated amid fiscal supply concerns and sticky services inflation. Markets now assign higher odds to a Fed pause or potential hike at the September FOMC, with the 5-year sector particularly sensitive to shifts in the expected policy path through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,824วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 5-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.63% as of September 10, 2026, driven primarily by persistent inflation pressures and a hawkish repricing of Federal Reserve policy expectations. Surging oil prices above $100 per barrel amid U.S.-Iran tensions have elevated energy costs and breakeven inflation measures, while upcoming August PPI and CPI releases are expected to show year-over-year gains near 5.4% and elevated core readings. Treasury buyback announcements have provided limited support, leaving term premiums elevated amid fiscal supply concerns and sticky services inflation. Markets now assign higher odds to a Fed pause or potential hike at the September FOMC, with the 5-year sector particularly sensitive to shifts in the expected policy path through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,824วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The 5-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.63% as of September 10, 2026, driven primarily by persistent inflation pressures and a hawkish repricing of Federal Reserve policy expectations. Surging oil prices above $100 per barrel amid U.S.-Iran tensions have elevated energy costs and breakeven inflation measures, while upcoming August PPI and CPI releases are expected to show year-over-year gains near 5.4% and elevated core readings. Treasury buyback announcements have provided limited support, leaving term premiums elevated amid fiscal supply concerns and sticky services inflation. Markets now assign higher odds to a Fed pause or potential hike at the September FOMC, with the 5-year sector particularly sensitive to shifts in the expected policy path through year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย