Recent upward pressure on the 10-year Treasury yield, now trading near 4.80-4.85% as of September 9, 2026, stems primarily from elevated fiscal deficits exceeding 6% of GDP, record Treasury issuance, and competing demand from AI-related corporate borrowing. Persistent inflation risks tied to geopolitical tensions and energy prices have reinforced a higher term premium, while the Federal Reserve's policy pause amid resilient growth has limited expectations for near-term easing. Trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket reflects these dynamics through elevated implied probabilities for yields testing 4.8% or higher before year-end 2026, tempered by potential moderation if inflation data cools or Middle East developments ease supply concerns. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming PPI and CPI releases plus FOMC communications.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$336,361 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
5.0%
70%
5.2%
26%
5.5%
13%
5.7%
7%
6.0%
3%
$336,361 ปริมาณ
5.0%
$95,257 ปริมาณ
70%
5.2%
$35,202 ปริมาณ
26%
5.5%
$11,586 ปริมาณ
13%
5.7%
$4,686 ปริมาณ
7%
6.0%
$7,486 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent upward pressure on the 10-year Treasury yield, now trading near 4.80-4.85% as of September 9, 2026, stems primarily from elevated fiscal deficits exceeding 6% of GDP, record Treasury issuance, and competing demand from AI-related corporate borrowing. Persistent inflation risks tied to geopolitical tensions and energy prices have reinforced a higher term premium, while the Federal Reserve's policy pause amid resilient growth has limited expectations for near-term easing. Trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket reflects these dynamics through elevated implied probabilities for yields testing 4.8% or higher before year-end 2026, tempered by potential moderation if inflation data cools or Middle East developments ease supply concerns. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming PPI and CPI releases plus FOMC communications.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$336,361วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent upward pressure on the 10-year Treasury yield, now trading near 4.80-4.85% as of September 9, 2026, stems primarily from elevated fiscal deficits exceeding 6% of GDP, record Treasury issuance, and competing demand from AI-related corporate borrowing. Persistent inflation risks tied to geopolitical tensions and energy prices have reinforced a higher term premium, while the Federal Reserve's policy pause amid resilient growth has limited expectations for near-term easing. Trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket reflects these dynamics through elevated implied probabilities for yields testing 4.8% or higher before year-end 2026, tempered by potential moderation if inflation data cools or Middle East developments ease supply concerns. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming PPI and CPI releases plus FOMC communications.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$336,361วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent upward pressure on the 10-year Treasury yield, now trading near 4.80-4.85% as of September 9, 2026, stems primarily from elevated fiscal deficits exceeding 6% of GDP, record Treasury issuance, and competing demand from AI-related corporate borrowing. Persistent inflation risks tied to geopolitical tensions and energy prices have reinforced a higher term premium, while the Federal Reserve's policy pause amid resilient growth has limited expectations for near-term easing. Trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket reflects these dynamics through elevated implied probabilities for yields testing 4.8% or higher before year-end 2026, tempered by potential moderation if inflation data cools or Middle East developments ease supply concerns. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming PPI and CPI releases plus FOMC communications.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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