Recent strength in the U.S. labor market and elevated energy prices have pushed the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.28% as of September 9, near its highest levels since 2007, amid concerns over persistent inflation. August nonfarm payrolls exceeded expectations by a wide margin, while Brent crude above $100 per barrel has revived price pressures, lifting market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to roughly 60%. Chairman Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole remarks reinforced the central bank’s focus on inflation near 3.7% PCE, with upcoming August PPI and CPI releases on September 10-11 likely to shape near-term rate expectations and long-end yield movements. Treasury buybacks provide limited offset against heavy corporate issuance and fiscal supply.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
ใหม่
Sep 30, 2026
5.60%
13%
5.55%
15%
5.50%
17%
5.45%
23%
5.42%
29%
5.39%
38%
5.36%
47%
5.33%
76%
5.30%
86%
$3,439 ปริมาณ
5.60%
$20 ปริมาณ
13%
5.55%
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
5.50%
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
5.45%
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
5.42%
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
5.39%
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
5.36%
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
5.33%
$2,343 ปริมาณ
76%
5.30%
$1,076 ปริมาณ
86%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent strength in the U.S. labor market and elevated energy prices have pushed the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.28% as of September 9, near its highest levels since 2007, amid concerns over persistent inflation. August nonfarm payrolls exceeded expectations by a wide margin, while Brent crude above $100 per barrel has revived price pressures, lifting market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to roughly 60%. Chairman Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole remarks reinforced the central bank’s focus on inflation near 3.7% PCE, with upcoming August PPI and CPI releases on September 10-11 likely to shape near-term rate expectations and long-end yield movements. Treasury buybacks provide limited offset against heavy corporate issuance and fiscal supply.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,439วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent strength in the U.S. labor market and elevated energy prices have pushed the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.28% as of September 9, near its highest levels since 2007, amid concerns over persistent inflation. August nonfarm payrolls exceeded expectations by a wide margin, while Brent crude above $100 per barrel has revived price pressures, lifting market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to roughly 60%. Chairman Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole remarks reinforced the central bank’s focus on inflation near 3.7% PCE, with upcoming August PPI and CPI releases on September 10-11 likely to shape near-term rate expectations and long-end yield movements. Treasury buybacks provide limited offset against heavy corporate issuance and fiscal supply.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,439วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent strength in the U.S. labor market and elevated energy prices have pushed the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.28% as of September 9, near its highest levels since 2007, amid concerns over persistent inflation. August nonfarm payrolls exceeded expectations by a wide margin, while Brent crude above $100 per barrel has revived price pressures, lifting market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to roughly 60%. Chairman Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole remarks reinforced the central bank’s focus on inflation near 3.7% PCE, with upcoming August PPI and CPI releases on September 10-11 likely to shape near-term rate expectations and long-end yield movements. Treasury buybacks provide limited offset against heavy corporate issuance and fiscal supply.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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