Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, citing elevated PCE inflation near 3.7% and readiness to act, have lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to around 60%. Strong August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 jobs and surging oil prices above $100 amid Middle East tensions have reinforced inflation concerns, pushing the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.28-5.30% as of September 9—its highest levels since 2007. Treasury buybacks of longer-dated bonds disappointed expectations for larger scale, adding upward pressure on yields alongside heavy federal debt issuance. Key upcoming releases include September PPI and CPI data that could shift rate expectations and influence the monthly low in the 30-year yield.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
ใหม่
Sep 30, 2026
Below 5.24%
74%
Below 5.21%
58%
Below 5.18%
35%
Below 5.15%
22%
Below 5.12%
6%
Below 5.09%
49%
Below 5.05%
3%
Below 5.00%
7%
Below 4.95%
6%
$9,311 ปริมาณ
Below 5.24%
$631 ปริมาณ
74%
Below 5.21%
$643 ปริมาณ
58%
Below 5.18%
$191 ปริมาณ
35%
Below 5.15%
$1,170 ปริมาณ
22%
Below 5.12%
$2,638 ปริมาณ
6%
Below 5.09%
$961 ปริมาณ
49%
Below 5.05%
$1,446 ปริมาณ
3%
Below 5.00%
$478 ปริมาณ
7%
Below 4.95%
$1,153 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, citing elevated PCE inflation near 3.7% and readiness to act, have lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to around 60%. Strong August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 jobs and surging oil prices above $100 amid Middle East tensions have reinforced inflation concerns, pushing the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.28-5.30% as of September 9—its highest levels since 2007. Treasury buybacks of longer-dated bonds disappointed expectations for larger scale, adding upward pressure on yields alongside heavy federal debt issuance. Key upcoming releases include September PPI and CPI data that could shift rate expectations and influence the monthly low in the 30-year yield.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,311วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, citing elevated PCE inflation near 3.7% and readiness to act, have lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to around 60%. Strong August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 jobs and surging oil prices above $100 amid Middle East tensions have reinforced inflation concerns, pushing the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.28-5.30% as of September 9—its highest levels since 2007. Treasury buybacks of longer-dated bonds disappointed expectations for larger scale, adding upward pressure on yields alongside heavy federal debt issuance. Key upcoming releases include September PPI and CPI data that could shift rate expectations and influence the monthly low in the 30-year yield.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,311วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, citing elevated PCE inflation near 3.7% and readiness to act, have lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to around 60%. Strong August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 jobs and surging oil prices above $100 amid Middle East tensions have reinforced inflation concerns, pushing the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.28-5.30% as of September 9—its highest levels since 2007. Treasury buybacks of longer-dated bonds disappointed expectations for larger scale, adding upward pressure on yields alongside heavy federal debt issuance. Key upcoming releases include September PPI and CPI data that could shift rate expectations and influence the monthly low in the 30-year yield.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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