Recent elevation in the 30-year Treasury yield to around 5.35–5.37 percent reflects persistent inflation pressures, with August CPI holding at 3.4 percent year-over-year and PPI rising 0.4 percent, alongside surging energy prices from geopolitical tensions. Heavy federal debt issuance and a widening fiscal deficit have lifted the term premium, while markets now price a 70–90 percent chance of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, up from prior expectations of steady policy at the 3.50–3.75 percent target range. The recent 30-year auction cleared at 5.308 percent amid strong indirect demand, and upcoming retail sales, employment data, and the dot plot will further shape trader views on the path for long-term yields through year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$12,242 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
6.00%
12%
5.80%
14%
5.70%
24%
5.65%
21%
5.60%
31%
5.55%
48%
5.50%
71%
5.45%
80%
5.40%
93%
$12,242 ปริมาณ
6.00%
$1,558 ปริมาณ
12%
5.80%
$2,700 ปริมาณ
14%
5.70%
$60 ปริมาณ
24%
5.65%
$653 ปริมาณ
21%
5.60%
$1,174 ปริมาณ
31%
5.55%
$1,018 ปริมาณ
48%
5.50%
$207 ปริมาณ
71%
5.45%
$2,176 ปริมาณ
80%
5.40%
$2,695 ปริมาณ
93%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent elevation in the 30-year Treasury yield to around 5.35–5.37 percent reflects persistent inflation pressures, with August CPI holding at 3.4 percent year-over-year and PPI rising 0.4 percent, alongside surging energy prices from geopolitical tensions. Heavy federal debt issuance and a widening fiscal deficit have lifted the term premium, while markets now price a 70–90 percent chance of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, up from prior expectations of steady policy at the 3.50–3.75 percent target range. The recent 30-year auction cleared at 5.308 percent amid strong indirect demand, and upcoming retail sales, employment data, and the dot plot will further shape trader views on the path for long-term yields through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,242วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent elevation in the 30-year Treasury yield to around 5.35–5.37 percent reflects persistent inflation pressures, with August CPI holding at 3.4 percent year-over-year and PPI rising 0.4 percent, alongside surging energy prices from geopolitical tensions. Heavy federal debt issuance and a widening fiscal deficit have lifted the term premium, while markets now price a 70–90 percent chance of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, up from prior expectations of steady policy at the 3.50–3.75 percent target range. The recent 30-year auction cleared at 5.308 percent amid strong indirect demand, and upcoming retail sales, employment data, and the dot plot will further shape trader views on the path for long-term yields through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,242วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent elevation in the 30-year Treasury yield to around 5.35–5.37 percent reflects persistent inflation pressures, with August CPI holding at 3.4 percent year-over-year and PPI rising 0.4 percent, alongside surging energy prices from geopolitical tensions. Heavy federal debt issuance and a widening fiscal deficit have lifted the term premium, while markets now price a 70–90 percent chance of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, up from prior expectations of steady policy at the 3.50–3.75 percent target range. The recent 30-year auction cleared at 5.308 percent amid strong indirect demand, and upcoming retail sales, employment data, and the dot plot will further shape trader views on the path for long-term yields through year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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