Elevated 30-year Treasury yields near 5.35% reflect persistent inflationary pressures, including August CPI holding at 3.4% year-over-year and surging oil prices above $100 per barrel, which have boosted market-implied odds of Federal Reserve rate hikes at the September FOMC meeting. Heavy Treasury issuance to fund fiscal deficits and a firming term premium have further anchored long-term borrowing costs at multi-year highs, limiting near-term downside. Traders are pricing in continued supply absorption by indirect buyers amid resilient economic data, though any moderation in energy prices or clearer signals of disinflation could ease yields before year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the upcoming CPI revisions, labor market releases, and central bank communications on the policy path through 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
ใหม่
Dec 30, 2026
Below 5.20%
80%
Below 5.15%
70%
Below 5.10%
63%
Below 5.05%
54%
Below 5.00%
46%
Below 4.95%
41%
Below 4.90%
37%
Below 4.80%
22%
Below 4.60%
16%
$122 ปริมาณ
Below 5.20%
$0 ปริมาณ
80%
Below 5.15%
$0 ปริมาณ
70%
Below 5.10%
$60 ปริมาณ
63%
Below 5.05%
$0 ปริมาณ
54%
Below 5.00%
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
Below 4.95%
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
Below 4.90%
$62 ปริมาณ
37%
Below 4.80%
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
Below 4.60%
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Elevated 30-year Treasury yields near 5.35% reflect persistent inflationary pressures, including August CPI holding at 3.4% year-over-year and surging oil prices above $100 per barrel, which have boosted market-implied odds of Federal Reserve rate hikes at the September FOMC meeting. Heavy Treasury issuance to fund fiscal deficits and a firming term premium have further anchored long-term borrowing costs at multi-year highs, limiting near-term downside. Traders are pricing in continued supply absorption by indirect buyers amid resilient economic data, though any moderation in energy prices or clearer signals of disinflation could ease yields before year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the upcoming CPI revisions, labor market releases, and central bank communications on the policy path through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$122วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Elevated 30-year Treasury yields near 5.35% reflect persistent inflationary pressures, including August CPI holding at 3.4% year-over-year and surging oil prices above $100 per barrel, which have boosted market-implied odds of Federal Reserve rate hikes at the September FOMC meeting. Heavy Treasury issuance to fund fiscal deficits and a firming term premium have further anchored long-term borrowing costs at multi-year highs, limiting near-term downside. Traders are pricing in continued supply absorption by indirect buyers amid resilient economic data, though any moderation in energy prices or clearer signals of disinflation could ease yields before year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the upcoming CPI revisions, labor market releases, and central bank communications on the policy path through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$122วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Elevated 30-year Treasury yields near 5.35% reflect persistent inflationary pressures, including August CPI holding at 3.4% year-over-year and surging oil prices above $100 per barrel, which have boosted market-implied odds of Federal Reserve rate hikes at the September FOMC meeting. Heavy Treasury issuance to fund fiscal deficits and a firming term premium have further anchored long-term borrowing costs at multi-year highs, limiting near-term downside. Traders are pricing in continued supply absorption by indirect buyers amid resilient economic data, though any moderation in energy prices or clearer signals of disinflation could ease yields before year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the upcoming CPI revisions, labor market releases, and central bank communications on the policy path through 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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